TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Leymanovsky vs Vitalii S Marushchak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 29Finished
Yurii Leymanovsky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117119––––
Vitalii S Marushchak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:54 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Leymanovsky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Leymanovsky above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Leymanovsky at 55.8%
64 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Leymanovsky 1–0 Vitalii S Marushchak Vitalii S Marushchak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leymanovsky 1674 vs Marushchak 1722
Marushchak
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leymanovsky 80% vs Marushchak 60%
Leymanovsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leymanovsky 70% vs Marushchak 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leymanovsky +4 · Marushchak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Leymanovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeymanovsky 1.67 / Marushchak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12317037
Leymanovsky1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Marushchak2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLeymanovsky1wins
AwayMarushchak0wins
Leymanovsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLeymanovskyMarushchakL − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeymanovskyMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 62 vs 282 / 59958.1%47.1%36 / 62 vs 282 / 599Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyLeymanovsky 1.67/Marushchak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 8 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky4212811113V. Marushchak321011561
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky1.61121197153A. Hrabskyi2.201061111132LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov2.63613111172Y. Leymanovsky1.441111135113WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky1.571113113V. Mishchenko2.2541130WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky1.731181112143A. Yurkov2.00911214122WJul 22 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.36101111113P. Plakushchyi3.00125461
V. Marushchak10
LSep 18 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.8311510111I. Fedoryshyn1.8331112133WSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110LSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590WSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750WSep 16 · 09:35V. Marushchak1.3311811113V. Mishchenko3.25311661WSep 16 · 08:05V. Marushchak1.91911116113O. Gavryshko1.8011671162LSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak1.5311591182A. Lievshin2.38911118113WSep 16 · 05:05V. Marushchak1.611116113A. Hrabskyi2.2091460WSep 15 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi1.40941171V. Marushchak2.7511114113
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