TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Mishchenko vs Mykyta Zinov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 14Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711115511––
Mykyta Zinov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Mishchenko to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Mykyta Zinov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Vladyslav Mishchenko at 56.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 12–7 Mykyta Zinov Mykyta Zinov has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mishchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Mishchenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1640 vs Zinov 1517
Mishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 40% vs Zinov 20%
Mishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 60% vs Zinov 20%
Mishchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Zinov -3
Zinov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Mishchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zinov form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.57 / Zinov 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Mishchenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428154
Mishchenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Zinov2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 20 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko7wins
AwayZinov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayZinov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko7Zinov3n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S2Mishchenko6Zinov4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Mishchenko5Zinov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mishchenko3Zinov3n = 6split evenly
S5Mishchenko3Zinov1n = 4Mishchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoZinovM − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.033.3+6.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoZinovBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 412 vs 140 / 28747.3%48.8%195 / 412 vs 140 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MishchenkoMishchenko 1.57/Zinov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zinov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 29 · 10:20V. Mishchenko551311119113M. Zinov4015471132
WJul 10 · 13:40V. Mishchenko4211119113M. Zinov34871181
WMar 30 · 14:40V. Mishchenko52138911113M. Zinov41111111622
WMar 23 · 14:10V. Mishchenko521131710113M. Zinov55911151282
LMar 16 · 13:40V. Mishchenko2451090M. Zinov341112113
LMar 2 · 15:40V. Mishchenko31114881M. Zinov4181111113
WFeb 18 · 09:50V. Mishchenko331111113M. Zinov155820
LFeb 16 · 16:10V. Mishchenko45101181152M. Zinov46126116113
WFeb 11 · 09:50V. Mishchenko331111113M. Zinov161960
WFeb 9 · 16:10V. Mishchenko331111113M. Zinov115330
V. Mishchenko10
LSep 16 · 11:35V. Mishchenko2.1071060A. Hrabskyi1.671112113LSep 16 · 09:35V. Marushchak1.3311811113V. Mishchenko3.25311661LSep 16 · 08:35V. Mishchenko2.25113131152A. Lievshin1.57511159113WSep 16 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko1.331071191V. Mishchenko3.2512119113LSep 16 · 06:05V. Mishchenko2.634660O. Gavryshko1.441111113WSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291WSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 08:20V. Marushchak1.361211123V. Mishchenko3.00108100LSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113
M. Zinov10
LAug 25 · 18:30M. Zinov2.3811119992O. Seliuchenko1.53741111113WAug 25 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.80118571M. Zinov1.9171111113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Zinov4.0041211111A. Lievshin1.2211149133LAug 25 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.731111113M. Zinov2.008670WAug 25 · 13:00M. Zinov2.631111123A. Yurkov1.4473100LAug 14 · 17:40M. Zinov4.00117791A. Lievshin1.2231111113LAug 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko1.44114116113M. Zinov2.6341111152WAug 14 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi1.67711931M. Zinov2.1011611113LAug 14 · 12:40M. Zinov2.631061161A. Yurkov1.4412115113LAug 5 · 11:50M. Zinov2.75711121172A. Yurkov1.40117144113
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