TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii S Marushchak vs Mykyta Zinov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 25Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Mykyta Zinov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Mykyta Zinov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 5–10 Mykyta Zinov Vitalii S Marushchak has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Zinov
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1678 vs Zinov 1552
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 60% vs Zinov 40%
Marushchak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 70% vs Zinov 40%
Marushchak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +1 · Zinov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.73 / Zinov 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Marushchak)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13008237
Marushchak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Zinov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 20 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak4wins
AwayZinov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZinov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak66.7%2 of 3
AwayZinov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak3Zinov7n = 10Zinov took 7 of 10
S2Marushchak5Zinov5n = 10split evenly
S3Marushchak6Zinov4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak5Zinov3n = 8Marushchak took 5 of 8
S5Marushchak1Zinov3n = 4Zinov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakZinovM − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.4−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakZinovBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 623 vs 134 / 27846.7%48.2%291 / 623 vs 134 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.73/Zinov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 07:20V. Marushchak28651251M. Zinov43111110113
WJul 29 · 08:50V. Marushchak4181111113M. Zinov31115961
WMay 22 · 13:10V. Marushchak3961111113M. Zinov31118391
LMar 30 · 12:40V. Marushchak3611431172M. Zinov45711115113
LMar 23 · 12:40V. Marushchak2658130M. Zinov371111153
LMar 16 · 12:40V. Marushchak47101113942M. Zinov531281111113
WMar 2 · 14:10V. Marushchak331111113M. Zinov196580
LFeb 16 · 12:40V. Marushchak32511881M. Zinov4111811113
LFeb 9 · 14:40V. Marushchak508101111102M. Zinov51111279123
WJan 26 · 18:10V. Marushchak46114911113M. Zinov4341111982
V. Marushchak10
LSep 18 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.8311510111I. Fedoryshyn1.8331112133WSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110LSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590WSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750WSep 16 · 09:35V. Marushchak1.3311811113V. Mishchenko3.25311661WSep 16 · 08:05V. Marushchak1.91911116113O. Gavryshko1.8011671162LSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak1.5311591182A. Lievshin2.38911118113WSep 16 · 05:05V. Marushchak1.611116113A. Hrabskyi2.2091460WSep 15 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi1.40941171V. Marushchak2.7511114113
M. Zinov10
LAug 25 · 18:30M. Zinov2.3811119992O. Seliuchenko1.53741111113WAug 25 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.80118571M. Zinov1.9171111113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Zinov4.0041211111A. Lievshin1.2211149133WAug 25 · 13:00M. Zinov2.631111123A. Yurkov1.4473100LAug 14 · 17:40M. Zinov4.00117791A. Lievshin1.2231111113LAug 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko1.44114116113M. Zinov2.6341111152WAug 14 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi1.67711931M. Zinov2.1011611113LAug 14 · 12:40M. Zinov2.631061161A. Yurkov1.4412115113WAug 14 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.57471151M. Zinov2.2511115113LAug 5 · 11:50M. Zinov2.75711121172A. Yurkov1.40117144113
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