TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykyta Zinov vs Oleksandr Seliuchenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 25Finished
Mykyta Zinov
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117114911911911
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Zinov above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 57.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zinov 2–2 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zinov 1548 vs Seliuchenko 1790
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zinov 40% vs Seliuchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zinov 40% vs Seliuchenko 70%
Seliuchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zinov +1 · Seliuchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZinov 2.38 / Seliuchenko 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13008201
Zinov2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 20 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Seliuchenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 85 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 72 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZinov2wins
AwaySeliuchenko2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZinov66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeliuchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zinov3Seliuchenko1n = 4Zinov took 3 of 4
S2Zinov3Seliuchenko1n = 4Zinov took 3 of 4
S3Zinov2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricZinovSeliuchenkoZ − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match31.527.8+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZinovSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 282 vs 167 / 27547.9%60.7%135 / 282 vs 167 / 275Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoZinov 2.38/Seliuchenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 18:30M. Zinov4911119992O. Seliuchenko44741111113
LAug 5 · 10:20M. Zinov116230O. Seliuchenko331111113
WFeb 9 · 11:40M. Zinov331111113O. Seliuchenko216870
WFeb 19 · 15:40M. Zinov331111113O. Seliuchenko137240
M. Zinov10
WAug 25 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.80118571M. Zinov1.9171111113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Zinov4.0041211111A. Lievshin1.2211149133LAug 25 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.731111113M. Zinov2.008670WAug 25 · 13:00M. Zinov2.631111123A. Yurkov1.4473100LAug 14 · 17:40M. Zinov4.00117791A. Lievshin1.2231111113LAug 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko1.44114116113M. Zinov2.6341111152WAug 14 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi1.67711931M. Zinov2.1011611113LAug 14 · 12:40M. Zinov2.631061161A. Yurkov1.4412115113WAug 14 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.57471151M. Zinov2.2511115113LAug 5 · 11:50M. Zinov2.75711121172A. Yurkov1.40117144113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950WSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640LSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552LSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350
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