TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Voronenko vs Mykyta Zinov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 14Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114411111611115
Mykyta Zinov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Voronenko to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Mykyta Zinov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 75 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vladimir Voronenko at 68.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 15–3 Mykyta Zinov Mykyta Zinov has won 3 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Voronenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-3 in 18
Voronenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1535 vs Zinov 1547
Zinov
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Zinov 40%
Zinov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 20% vs Zinov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -1 · Zinov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Voronenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voronenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 1.44 / Zinov 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Voronenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427723
Voronenko1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 29 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Zinov2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 20 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko8wins
AwayZinov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVoronenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayZinovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko8Zinov2n = 10Voronenko took 8 of 10
S2Voronenko5Zinov5n = 10split evenly
S3Voronenko7Zinov3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S4Voronenko4Zinov2n = 6Voronenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoZinovV − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.633.4+6.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoZinovBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 530 vs 142 / 29044.5%49%236 / 530 vs 142 / 290Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoronenkoVoronenko 1.44/Zinov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Voronenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 10:40V. Voronenko46119411113M. Zinov4181111472
WMay 22 · 16:40V. Voronenko331111113M. Zinov206770
WApr 22 · 09:20V. Voronenko45111211113M. Zinov401310981
WApr 8 · 06:20V. Voronenko331111113M. Zinov229760
WMar 30 · 10:40V. Voronenko4811913153M. Zinov4381111131
WMar 23 · 16:10V. Voronenko331111113M. Zinov205960
LMar 16 · 14:40V. Voronenko31391181M. Zinov3511112113
WMar 2 · 17:40V. Voronenko57129711183M. Zinov571011119162
LFeb 9 · 17:40V. Voronenko371161281M. Zinov3821114113
WJan 26 · 11:40V. Voronenko331111113M. Zinov186930
V. Voronenko10
LSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113LSep 14 · 16:40V. Marushchak1.4471111113V. Voronenko2.63115221LSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062LSep 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko2.7571141152O. Kolbasenko1.40117114113LSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123LSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941
M. Zinov10
LAug 25 · 18:30M. Zinov2.3811119992O. Seliuchenko1.53741111113WAug 25 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.80118571M. Zinov1.9171111113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Zinov4.0041211111A. Lievshin1.2211149133LAug 25 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.731111113M. Zinov2.008670WAug 25 · 13:00M. Zinov2.631111123A. Yurkov1.4473100LAug 14 · 17:40M. Zinov4.00117791A. Lievshin1.2231111113WAug 14 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi1.67711931M. Zinov2.1011611113LAug 14 · 12:40M. Zinov2.631061161A. Yurkov1.4412115113WAug 14 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.57471151M. Zinov2.2511115113LAug 5 · 11:50M. Zinov2.75711121172A. Yurkov1.40117144113
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