TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12369957
Played Aug 6Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114811115113––
Ondrej Kysely
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
114811115113––
H2H Dalimil Machander 2–0 Ondrej Kysely Ondrej Kysely has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:36What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Machander
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1597 vs Kysely 1622
Kysely
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Kysely 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 30% vs Kysely 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -1 · Kysely +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.70 / Kysely 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Machander)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12369957
Machander1.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 50 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Kysely2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMachander2wins
AwayKysely0wins
Machander leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMachanderKyselyM − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.524.0+15.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderKyselyBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 306 vs 67 / 10447.7%64.4%146 / 306 vs 67 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderMachander 1.70/Kysely 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 6 · 07:30D. Machander—111011143O. Kysely—5124121
WJul 1 · 06:30D. Machander—1111113O. Kysely—6630
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560
O. Kysely10
WAug 6 · 08:00O. Kysely1.839101111113T. Petrek1.8311124642LAug 6 · 07:30D. Machander1.83111011143O. Kysely1.835124121WAug 6 · 06:00O. Kysely1.6111119113A. Walek2.20791161LAug 4 · 08:59D. Unzeitig1.611110911113O. Kysely2.2031211482LAug 4 · 08:30O. Kysely1.839460D. Unzeitig1.831111113LAug 4 · 07:00O. Kysely2.00141101162Z. Pagac1.731211125113LAug 4 · 06:00R. Hudeczek1.801181211113O. Kysely1.9151114822WJul 7 · 03:00P. Pycha2.25961141O. Kysely1.5711116113LJul 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek2.0011119113O. Kysely1.73891191WJul 7 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke2.0051511882O. Kysely1.731113811113
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