TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12255490
Played Jul 18Finished
Jakub Makara
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171012911118116
Josef Chalupa
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Makara above · Josef Chalupa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6
96 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Makara 2–2 Josef Chalupa Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.61 / Chalupa 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Makara)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12255490
Makara1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Chalupa2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 20 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMakara2wins
AwayChalupa2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara66.7%2 of 3
AwayChalupan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Chalupa1n = 4Makara took 3 of 4
S2Makara2Chalupa2n = 4split evenly
S3Makara1Chalupa3n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMakaraChalupaM − CBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.035.8+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 60 vs 208 / 37260%55.9%36 / 60 vs 208 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMakara 1.61/Chalupa 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 12 · 07:15J. Makara—111151192J. Chalupa—413117113
LOct 12 · 08:28J. Makara—11960J. Chalupa—1311113
WOct 12 · 05:15J. Makara—1111123J. Chalupa—54100
WSep 12 · 07:45J. Makara—111188113J. Chalupa—87111162
J. Makara10
LAug 26 · 10:20J. Makara—6950A. Keshavarzi—1111113LAug 26 · 10:20J. Makara6.506950A. Keshavarzi1.101111113WJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113LJul 18 · 07:15J. Makara1.578610V. Burylov2.251111113WJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690LJul 4 · 08:24J. Makara1.57816121062V. Burylov2.2511141012113LJul 4 · 07:45J. Makara1.50119121182T. Liska2.50811146113LJul 4 · 06:15V. Burylov2.501111113J. Makara1.509860WJul 4 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.7512981192J. Makara1.401011114113LJul 3 · 08:24J. Makara1.918101181P. Wasik1.8011128113
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111
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