TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12256039
Played Jul 18Finished
Jakub Makara
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611111––––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Makara above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 48 set 3, 1-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Makara 10–10 Volodymyr Burylov Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.57 / Burylov 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Makara)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12256039
Makara1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 11 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Burylov2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog61% won 43 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back43% 16 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara4wins
AwayBurylov6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara100%3 of 3
AwayBurylov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S2Makara4Burylov6n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S3Makara5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara4Burylov3n = 7Makara took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraBurylovM − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.4−1.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 64 vs 164 / 32060.9%51.3%39 / 64 vs 164 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMakara 1.57/Burylov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 07:15J. Makara—8610V. Burylov—1111113
LJul 4 · 08:24J. Makara—816121062V. Burylov—11141012113
LJul 4 · 06:15J. Makara—9860V. Burylov—1111113
WJul 3 · 05:45J. Makara—11811113V. Burylov—911351
LOct 12 · 06:15J. Makara—722881V. Burylov—112011113
WSep 26 · 08:35J. Makara—101111113V. Burylov—127881
WSep 26 · 07:15J. Makara—11128143V. Burylov—71011121
WSep 12 · 08:55J. Makara—11911113V. Burylov—811771
LSep 12 · 05:15J. Makara—791181V. Burylov—11115113
LJul 26 · 08:30J. Makara—7980V. Burylov—1111113
J. Makara10
LAug 26 · 10:20J. Makara—6950A. Keshavarzi—1111113LAug 26 · 10:20J. Makara6.506950A. Keshavarzi1.101111113WJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113WJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690WJul 18 · 05:15J. Makara1.611110911113J. Chalupa2.2071211862LJul 4 · 08:24J. Makara1.57816121062V. Burylov2.2511141012113LJul 4 · 07:45J. Makara1.50119121182T. Liska2.50811146113LJul 4 · 06:15V. Burylov2.501111113J. Makara1.509860WJul 4 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.7512981192J. Makara1.401011114113LJul 3 · 08:24J. Makara1.918101181P. Wasik1.8011128113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940WJul 4 · 08:24J. Makara1.57816121062V. Burylov2.2511141012113WJul 4 · 06:15V. Burylov2.501111113J. Makara1.509860
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