TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12128244
Played Jul 1Finished
Anastasiia Telykh
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5118111191181210
Polina Pashchenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAnastasiia Telykh above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10
96 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Telykh 1–4 Polina Pashchenko Anastasiia Telykh has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pashchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTelykh 2.10 / Pashchenko 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pashchenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12128244
Telykh2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Pashchenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTelykh1wins
AwayPashchenko4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPashchenko leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTelykhn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPashchenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Telykh0Pashchenko5n = 5Pashchenko took 5 of 5
S2Telykh2Pashchenko3n = 5Pashchenko took 3 of 5
S3Telykh2Pashchenko3n = 5Pashchenko took 3 of 5
S4Telykh2Pashchenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricTelykhPashchenkoT − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match34.240.0−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTelykhPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 157 vs 30 / 5545.2%54.6%71 / 157 vs 30 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoTelykh 2.10/Pashchenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Telykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 23 · 05:05A. Telykh—531141P. Pashchenko—11115113
LJun 5 · 04:30A. Telykh—9411101P. Pashchenko—11118123
LMay 29 · 06:00A. Telykh—81181162P. Pashchenko—119114113
LMay 27 · 05:00A. Telykh—6860P. Pashchenko—1111113
WMay 26 · 10:35A. Telykh—1011711113P. Pashchenko—12411862
A. Telykh10
LJul 2 · 10:14O. Kolbasenko1.9161111113A. Telykh1.80118561WJul 2 · 09:00N. Harmash4.00972081A. Telykh1.22111118113WJul 2 · 07:30A. Telykh1.251412113A. Plashchynska3.75121090LJul 2 · 06:00A. Telykh1.673750O. Kolbasenko2.101111113WJul 1 · 10:33A. Telykh1.50114126133S. Yureneva2.508111011112LJul 1 · 09:35S. Yureneva2.5013511113A. Telykh1.501111221WJul 1 · 08:05A. Telykh1.7321111143Y. Mykhailyk2.001196121WJul 1 · 06:35A. Telykh1.301111113A. Plashchynska3.403890LJun 24 · 11:05A. Telykh2.631144101A. Kurtenko1.4491111123LJun 24 · 09:35A. Telykh3.25611741A. Rzhevska1.3311811113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113
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