TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12091643
Played Jun 24Finished
Anastasiia Telykh
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1194114111012––
Alina Kurtenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAnastasiia Telykh above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12
72 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Telykh 4–8 Alina Kurtenko Anastasiia Telykh has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTelykh 2.63 / Kurtenko 1.44
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Kurtenko)+10.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12091643
Telykh2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kurtenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTelykh3wins
AwayKurtenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTelykhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKurtenko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Telykh2Kurtenko8n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S2Telykh3Kurtenko7n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Telykh4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Telykh5Kurtenko2n = 7Telykh took 5 of 7
S5Telykh2Kurtenko3n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTelykhKurtenkoT − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.9−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTelykhKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 152 vs 181 / 30944.7%58.6%68 / 152 vs 181 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoTelykh 2.63/Kurtenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 09:35A. Telykh—71171172A. Kurtenko—115118113
WMay 29 · 09:00A. Telykh—1011116123A. Kurtenko—124711102
LMay 13 · 05:03A. Telykh—412100A. Kurtenko—1114123
WMay 6 · 08:35A. Telykh—11128113A. Kurtenko—8101181
WMay 5 · 05:05A. Telykh—671111113A. Kurtenko—11119582
LApr 7 · 05:00A. Telykh—124111262A. Kurtenko—1411710113
LMar 26 · 11:33A. Telykh—8770A. Kurtenko—1111113
LMar 26 · 08:05A. Telykh—1171091A. Kurtenko—41112113
LMar 25 · 15:40A. Telykh—47111272A. Kurtenko—1111810113
LMar 10 · 07:00A. Telykh—116100A. Kurtenko—1311123
A. Telykh10
LJul 2 · 10:14O. Kolbasenko1.9161111113A. Telykh1.80118561WJul 2 · 09:00N. Harmash4.00972081A. Telykh1.22111118113WJul 2 · 07:30A. Telykh1.251412113A. Plashchynska3.75121090LJul 2 · 06:00A. Telykh1.673750O. Kolbasenko2.101111113WJul 1 · 10:33A. Telykh1.50114126133S. Yureneva2.508111011112LJul 1 · 09:35S. Yureneva2.5013511113A. Telykh1.501111221WJul 1 · 08:05A. Telykh1.7321111143Y. Mykhailyk2.001196121WJul 1 · 06:35A. Telykh1.301111113A. Plashchynska3.403890WJul 1 · 05:05A. Telykh2.10581111123P. Pashchenko1.67111198102LJun 24 · 09:35A. Telykh3.25611741A. Rzhevska1.3311811113
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133
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