TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12105630
Played Jun 26Finished
Marcin Marchlewski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181175111210––
Milosz Kukawka
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarcin Marchlewski above · Milosz Kukawka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Marchlewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.57 / Kukawka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Marchlewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12105630
Marchlewski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it100% 52 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it81% 105 of 130
Kukawka2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog56% won 73 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1380 vs 491 / 77748.8%63.2%673 / 1380 vs 491 / 777Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiMarchlewski 1.57/Kukawka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marchlewski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Marchlewski10
WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171LAug 23 · 22:10M. Marchlewski4.00611771M. Rutkowski1.2211911113WAug 23 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.7381181142M. Marchlewski2.00115116113WAug 23 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.8511115982M. Marchlewski1.82951111113LAug 23 · 18:55A. Linek2.9571111113M. Marchlewski1.34112451LAug 23 · 18:10M. Marchlewski1.65119711112B. Sulkowski2.10411118133WAug 23 · 16:35M. Marchlewski1.121112113D. Poloszczanski5.0031050LAug 23 · 15:50A. Wos1.9711114113M. Marchlewski1.72861181WAug 23 · 24:10M. Marchlewski1.911111123J. Chmielowski1.8089100
M. Kukawka10
LJun 28 · 14:15M. Kukawka1.4431070B. Sulkowski2.551112113WJun 28 · 12:35T. Piotrowski2.80713111172M. Kukawka1.36111596113LJun 28 · 11:45K. Sulkowski2.07711411113M. Kukawka1.6511711492WJun 28 · 10:55M. Kukawka1.3612117123F. Kujawa2.8010611101WJun 28 · 09:45M. Kukawka1.34711611113B. Warpas2.9011811672LJun 27 · 14:15M. Kukawka1.25671111102F. Kujawa3.70111164123WJun 27 · 12:35R. Stapor1.717150M. Kukawka2.001111113WJun 27 · 11:45T. Piotrowski2.5065100M. Kukawka1.441111123WJun 27 · 10:55M. Kukawka1.43111310113K. Sulkowski2.557111251WJun 27 · 09:45M. Kukawka2.9031111113J. Chmielowski1.35116691
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