TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12056558
Played Jun 18Finished
Karl Walter
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116118––––
Sven Happek
Away
2.31
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingKarl Walter above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8
53 points played in total.
H2H Karl Walter 3–0 Sven Happek Sven Happek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Walter)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (0%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalter 1.50 / Happek 2.31
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Walter)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12056558
Walter1.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Happek2.31
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWalter3wins
AwayHappek0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderWalter leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walter1Happek2n = 3Happek took 2 of 3
S2Walter2Happek1n = 3Walter took 2 of 3
S3Walter1Happek2n = 3Happek took 2 of 3
S4Walter3Happek0n = 3Walter took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWalterHappekW − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match48.741.7+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalterHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 133 vs 53 / 16139.9%32.9%53 / 133 vs 53 / 161Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.632.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalterWalter 1.50/Happek 2.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.6%
Walter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Walter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 8 · 12:00K. Walter—911811113S. Happek—11411772
WMar 16 · 15:00K. Walter—991113123S. Happek—1111711102
WDec 9 · 09:30K. Walter—12118113S. Happek—1081161
K. Walter10
WJun 19 · 08:30K. Walter4.3311783L. Qiu1.2081121WJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521WJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680LJun 18 · 15:30K. Walter4.5010750O. Kosolosky1.171211113LJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100LJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100LJun 18 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.051111113K. Walter8.509840LJun 18 · 10:00K. Walter1.808670L. Kraus1.911111113LJun 18 · 09:00K. Walter1.778670L. Kraus1.871111113LJun 18 · 08:30K. Walter1.308121161D. Zech3.4011147113
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680
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