TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12060742
Played Jun 18Finished
Karl Walter
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111214117611––
Damian Zech
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingKarl Walter above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 80 set 4, 6-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Karl Walter 2–1 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Walter)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalter 1.30 / Zech 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Walter)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12060742
Walter1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zech3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWalter2wins
AwayZech1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderWalter leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalter66.7%2 of 3
AwayZechn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walter3Zech0n = 3Walter took 3 of 3
S2Walter2Zech1n = 3Walter took 2 of 3
S3Walter2Zech1n = 3Walter took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWalterZechW − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match42.738.7+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalterZechBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 127 vs 62 / 28141.7%22.1%53 / 127 vs 62 / 281Avg sets wonper match1.81.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.131.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalterWalter 1.30/Zech 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Walter · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zech won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 9 · 15:30K. Walter—1261112113D. Zech—101161492
LJan 8 · 10:00K. Walter—14118732D. Zech—1291111113
WNov 6 · 17:30K. Walter—1111113D. Zech—2370
K. Walter10
WJun 19 · 08:30K. Walter4.3311783L. Qiu1.2081121WJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521WJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680WJun 18 · 16:30K. Walter1.501111113S. Happek2.316680LJun 18 · 15:30K. Walter4.5010750O. Kosolosky1.171211113LJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100LJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100LJun 18 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.051111113K. Walter8.509840LJun 18 · 10:00K. Walter1.808670L. Kraus1.911111113LJun 18 · 09:00K. Walter1.778670L. Kraus1.871111113
D. Zech10
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271
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