TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12065302
Played Jun 19Finished
Karl Walter
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11871182––––
Liang Qiu
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarl Walter above · Liang Qiu below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 66 set 4, 11-2
66 points played in total.
H2H Karl Walter 0–1 Liang Qiu Karl Walter has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Qiu)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qiu form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalter 4.33 / Qiu 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Qiu)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12065302
Walter4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Qiu1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWalter0wins
AwayQiu1wins
Qiu leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricWalterQiuW − QBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match24.036.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalterQiuBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 136 vs 73 / 13340.4%54.9%55 / 136 vs 73 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QiuWalter 4.33/Qiu 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Qiu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Walter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 9 · 09:00K. Walter—71250L. Qiu—1114113
K. Walter10
WJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521WJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680WJun 18 · 16:30K. Walter1.501111113S. Happek2.316680LJun 18 · 15:30K. Walter4.5010750O. Kosolosky1.171211113LJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100LJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100LJun 18 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.051111113K. Walter8.509840LJun 18 · 10:00K. Walter1.808670L. Kraus1.911111113LJun 18 · 09:00K. Walter1.778670L. Kraus1.871111113LJun 18 · 08:30K. Walter1.308121161D. Zech3.4011147113
L. Qiu10
WAug 30 · 09:00L. Qiu1.30111011863T. Tregler3.4071261152WAug 30 · 08:00L. Qiu3.0011113113T. Polansky1.36791151LAug 29 · 09:42L. Qiu—11911652J. Piccolin—71131163WAug 29 · 08:00L. Qiu—76111363G. Camara—111151152LAug 28 · 08:00L. Qiu—2D. Prokopcov—3LAug 20 · 14:00E. Huzsvar—11117113L. Qiu—471151LAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:30L. Qiu1.0512119113A. Moreno8.501091191LAug 20 · 08:00L. Qiu3.2510640M. Danzer1.331211113LJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521
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