Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Kacper Makowski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12033812

Played Jun 14Finished

Arkadiusz Mugowski

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11910121715118––

Kacper Makowski

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingArkadiusz Mugowski above · Kacper Makowski below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 17-15

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 93 set 4, 11-8

93 points played in total.

H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 9–9 Kacper Makowski Dead even across their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mugowski)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Makowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMugowski 1.91 / Makowski 1.80

Signal prob.56% / 45%

Edge (Mugowski)+7.0pp

TT Elite Series · #12033812

Mugowski1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 288 of 724

Down 0–1, comes back21% 90 of 430

Down 0–2, comes back7% 18 of 246

Makowski1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite43% won 43 of 100

Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it80% 35 of 44

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMugowski5wins

AwayMakowski5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMugowski100%4 of 4

AwayMakowski83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mugowski4Makowski6n = 10Makowski took 6 of 10

S2Mugowski5Makowski5n = 10split evenly

S3Mugowski4Makowski6n = 10Makowski took 6 of 10

S4Mugowski4Makowski4n = 8split evenly

S5Mugowski3Makowski1n = 4Mugowski took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMugowskiMakowskiMugowski − MakowskiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.6+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMugowskiMakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1450 / 3121 vs 133 / 32646.5%40.8%1450 / 3121 vs 133 / 326Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mugowski

Mugowski 1.91/Makowski 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.5%

Mugowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Mugowski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJun 14 · 06:05A. Mugowski—981181K. Makowski—11118113

WJun 13 · 03:00A. Mugowski—1110911113K. Makowski—41211792

LMay 31 · 09:30A. Mugowski—71140K. Makowski—1113113

WMay 31 · 05:45A. Mugowski—1114113K. Makowski—71270

LMay 24 · 09:55A. Mugowski—911771K. Makowski—11611113

WMay 24 · 07:35A. Mugowski—11811113K. Makowski—511651

WMay 10 · 11:00A. Mugowski—1191111113K. Makowski—81113932

LMay 9 · 10:40A. Mugowski—91171182K. Makowski—118116113

LApr 11 · 23:50A. Mugowski—511541K. Makowski—11411113

WApr 11 · 21:30A. Mugowski—1111118113K. Makowski—13881172

A. Mugowski10

WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120 LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113 LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113 LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100 WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842 LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113 LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100 LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111 LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113 WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770

K. Makowski10

WJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113 LJun 14 · 13:10M. Minda1.44101111113K. Makowski2.63126491 WJun 14 · 12:20K. Makowski2.00511411133W. Gronowski1.73118118112 LJun 14 · 10:40K. Makowski1.67713951A. Szoltysek2.10111111113 WJun 14 · 08:35K. Marchlewski2.10111112892K. Makowski1.60581411113 LJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113 WJun 14 · 06:05A. Mugowski1.85981181K. Makowski1.8011118113 LJun 14 · 04:55F. Jablonski1.83101111113K. Makowski1.83122481 LJun 14 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski2.0412111111113K. Makowski1.67105131392 LJun 13 · 14:25K. Makowski2.25651141W. Gronowski1.5711117113

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