TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12033900
Played Jun 14Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012116114119––
Kacper Makowski
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Minda above · Kacper Makowski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Michal Minda 3–1 Kacper Makowski Kacper Makowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Minda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.44 / Makowski 2.63
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Minda)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12033900
Minda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 273 of 476
Up 2–0, closes it96% 120 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it78% 204 of 261
Makowski2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back12% 15 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMinda3wins
AwayMakowski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMinda leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda100%3 of 3
AwayMakowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda3Makowski1n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
S2Minda2Makowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Minda2Makowski2n = 4split evenly
S4Minda2Makowski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMindaMakowskiMinda − MakowskiBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.237.2+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaMakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1396 / 2749 vs 134 / 32950.8%40.7%1396 / 2749 vs 134 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.44/Makowski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 13 · 12:45M. Minda—981181K. Makowski—11117113
WMay 31 · 03:55M. Minda—11114113K. Makowski—981151
WMay 30 · 07:10M. Minda—1161111113K. Makowski—91161392
WMar 27 · 10:50M. Minda—11119113K. Makowski—851141
M. Minda10
WSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390WSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113LSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171LSep 9 · 11:00M. Minda1.83991171P. Blocho1.8611117113WSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Minda1.85781191B. Czerwinski1.8511117113LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.8311611113P. Blocho1.86911951LSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113
K. Makowski10
WJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113WJun 14 · 12:20K. Makowski2.00511411133W. Gronowski1.73118118112LJun 14 · 10:40K. Makowski1.67713951A. Szoltysek2.10111111113LJun 14 · 09:55A. Mugowski1.91111017113K. Makowski1.809121581WJun 14 · 08:35K. Marchlewski2.10111112892K. Makowski1.60581411113LJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113WJun 14 · 06:05A. Mugowski1.85981181K. Makowski1.8011118113LJun 14 · 04:55F. Jablonski1.83101111113K. Makowski1.83122481LJun 14 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski2.0412111111113K. Makowski1.67105131392LJun 13 · 14:25K. Makowski2.25651141W. Gronowski1.5711117113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.