TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12013954
Played Jun 9Finished
Pawel Chojnacki
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151151210––––
Maciej Lamer
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
1151151210––––
H2H Pawel Chojnacki 19–5 Maciej Lamer Maciej Lamer has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lamer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamer form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChojnacki 1.80 / Lamer 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lamer)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #12013954
Chojnacki1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite50% won 45 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Lamer1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 73 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back9% 18 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChojnacki8wins
AwayLamer2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChojnacki leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChojnacki100%6 of 6
AwayLamer50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chojnacki6Lamer4n = 10Chojnacki took 6 of 10
S2Chojnacki8Lamer2n = 10Chojnacki took 8 of 10
S3Chojnacki7Lamer3n = 10Chojnacki took 7 of 10
S4Chojnacki5Lamer3n = 8Chojnacki took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChojnackiLamerC − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.735.4+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChojnackiLamerBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 596 vs 414 / 124037.8%33.4%225 / 596 vs 414 / 1240Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.834.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LamerChojnacki 1.80/Lamer 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lamer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chojnacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 3 · 04:40P. Chojnacki4691311133M. Lamer3511112111
LJun 2 · 22:40P. Chojnacki4571111882M. Lamer43116411113
WMay 28 · 23:30P. Chojnacki48161110113M. Lamer371461251
WMay 15 · 05:05P. Chojnacki331111113M. Lamer192980
WApr 17 · 02:45P. Chojnacki351311113M. Lamer2711970
LApr 16 · 23:05P. Chojnacki346101171M. Lamer4311129113
WMar 20 · 02:30P. Chojnacki46131111113M. Lamer391161391
WMar 19 · 20:30P. Chojnacki4211119113M. Lamer30481171
WMar 14 · 02:35P. Chojnacki511271110113M. Lamer46101181252
WMar 13 · 20:35P. Chojnacki3741111113M. Lamer35119781
P. Chojnacki10
LJul 28 · 02:10P. Chojnacki2.7511560A. Kubiak1.401311113LJul 28 · 24:50P. Chojnacki4.50511531M. Guzik1.1711811113LJul 27 · 23:45P. Chojnacki3.4051040M. Krutak1.301112113LJul 27 · 22:10P. Chojnacki1.9147100J. Michalik1.801111123WJul 27 · 21:00P. Chojnacki1.831111113K. Kwiatkowski1.836920LJul 27 · 19:40A. Fomin1.33111110113P. Chojnacki3.25461281LJul 27 · 18:55M. Guzik1.1781111113P. Chojnacki4.50114461WJul 27 · 18:10P. Chojnacki3.00101213113A. Kubiak1.3612101171LJul 27 · 16:35P. Chojnacki2.1010680K. Kwiatkowski1.671211113LJul 27 · 15:50M. Krutak1.44118711113P. Chojnacki2.6351111952
M. Lamer10
LJun 10 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.281111113M. Lamer3.204870LJun 10 · 03:55A. Barton1.731111711113M. Lamer1.9513911882LJun 10 · 01:55Z. Nocun1.1761111113M. Lamer4.25117941LJun 10 · 01:10M. Brunner1.281111113M. Lamer3.258670LJun 9 · 23:30P. Chojnacki1.46111110113M. Lamer2.47691251WJun 9 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.40581181M. Lamer2.7511119113LJun 9 · 21:55A. Barton1.831111113M. Lamer1.866670LJun 9 · 19:55Z. Nocun1.2111135113M. Lamer3.758111181LJun 9 · 17:30M. Brunner1.251111133M. Lamer3.4037110LJun 8 · 08:45M. Lamer1.83781161J. Michalik1.8411117113
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