TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Petas vs Simon Belik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played May 20Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131159111311911
Simon Belik
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Simon Belik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11
104 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 8–5 Simon Belik Simon Belik has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belik form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.17 / Belik 4.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Petas)+8.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11913292
Petas1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 178 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it96% 85 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it78% 128 of 165
Belik4.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog13% won 13 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back6% 4 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas7wins
AwayBelik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas75%6 of 8
AwayBelikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas8Belik2n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S2Petas5Belik5n = 10split evenly
S3Petas5Belik5n = 10split evenly
S4Petas2Belik4n = 6Belik took 4 of 6
S5Petas3Belik0n = 3Petas took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasBelikP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.433.6+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasBelikBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1941 vs 102 / 39453.3%25.9%1034 / 1941 vs 102 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.832.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.17/Belik 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.4%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Belik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 11 · 04:20K. Petas—1S. Belik—3
WNov 28 · 06:15K. Petas—3S. Belik—0
WNov 27 · 15:50K. Petas—3S. Belik—0
LNov 27 · 10:35K. Petas—0S. Belik—3
WSep 29 · 13:15K. Petas—3S. Belik—2
LSep 29 · 07:15K. Petas—1S. Belik—3
WSep 19 · 08:25K. Petas—3S. Belik—2
WSep 8 · 04:20K. Petas—3S. Belik—1
WJun 9 · 10:25K. Petas—3S. Belik—0
WJun 6 · 15:35K. Petas—3S. Belik—2
K. Petas10
LSep 14 · 13:45K. Petas2.25214471M. Jadczyk1.57111211113LSep 14 · 12:30K. Petas1.6111971162K. Strowski2.20511118113WSep 14 · 11:15K. Petas1.5311116123K. Wloczko2.384711101WSep 14 · 10:00A. Wiecek1.9141111662K. Petas1.80119811113LSep 14 · 09:20K. Petas1.8341121162T. Spanik1.83118119113WSep 14 · 08:30K. Petas1.61911711113K. Strowski2.2011411552WSep 14 · 06:55K. Petas2.2011613113M. Jadczyk1.615111181LSep 14 · 05:40K. Petas1.911011791A. Wiecek1.8012611113LSep 14 · 04:10K. Petas2.0091080T. Spanik1.731112113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Petas1.7391191172K. Wloczko2.00119119113
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281WMay 20 · 13:10M. Olbrycht1.5341113111S. Belik2.3811815133LMay 20 · 12:20S. Belik2.75713100A. Daniel1.401115123WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 09:55S. Sporek1.3611114113S. Belik3.00771151LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113
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