TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Rafael Turrini vs Mike Hollo 3-2 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 5Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131210113511113
Mike Hollo
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Mike Hollo below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 90 set 5, 11-3
90 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 4–4 Mike Hollo Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hollo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.36 / Hollo 3.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Turrini)-13.5pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11839898
Turrini1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hollo3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTurrini4wins
AwayHollo4wins
Level at 4–4.
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Turrini6Hollo2n = 8Turrini took 6 of 8
S2Turrini5Hollo3n = 8Turrini took 5 of 8
S3Turrini5Hollo3n = 8Turrini took 5 of 8
S4Turrini0Hollo5n = 5Hollo took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricTurriniHolloT − HBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match37.834.2+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniHolloBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 403 vs 133 / 21977.2%60.7%311 / 403 vs 133 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.36/Hollo 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
L—R. Turrini—1M. Hollo—3
L—R. Turrini—3M. Hollo—1
W—R. Turrini—3M. Hollo—0
W—R. Turrini—0M. Hollo—3
L—R. Turrini—1M. Hollo—3
L—R. Turrini—3M. Hollo—2
W—R. Turrini—0M. Hollo—3
W—R. Turrini—2M. Hollo—3
R. Turrini10
WSep 22 · 11:00O. Kosolosky—11118792R. Turrini—391111113WSep 22 · 09:45R. Turrini1.401111113M. Stefanidis2.753930WSep 22 · 08:00A. Moreno10.50510120R. Turrini1.021112143LSep 22 · 07:00R. Turrini1.1149100K. Zimmermann6.001111123WSep 21 · 15:30C. Schmitt15.001186131R. Turrini1.0191111153WSep 21 · 13:30M. Stefanidis1.83711641R. Turrini1.8911611113WSep 21 · 12:00S. Happek15.00541591R. Turrini1.01111113113WSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113LSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.