TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11803526
Played Apr 27Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–3Last 5Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210114––––
Jiri Havel
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–1Last 5Won last 4
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Havel below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4
52 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 17–13 Jiri Havel Jiri Havel has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.61 / Havel 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11803526
The market does not separate these two
1.61 against 2.20 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Darin1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Havel2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin7wins
AwayHavel3wins
Darin leads 7–3.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Havel4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin8Havel2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S3Darin9Havel1n = 10Darin took 9 of 10
S4Darin1Havel4n = 5Havel took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHavelD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.331.7+5.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime862 / 1738 vs 390 / 72349.6%53.9%862 / 1738 vs 390 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.61/Havel 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
L—K. Darin—1J. Havel—3
W—K. Darin—3J. Havel—0
W—K. Darin—0J. Havel—3
W—K. Darin—2J. Havel—3
L—K. Darin—2J. Havel—3
W—K. Darin—3J. Havel—0
L—K. Darin—1J. Havel—3
W—K. Darin—0J. Havel—3
W—K. Darin—3J. Havel—1
W—K. Darin—3J. Havel—0
K. Darin10
LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671
J. Havel10
LApr 27 · 13:28L. Krejcik1.40121159113J. Havel2.75109111162WApr 27 · 12:30T. Kolenic1.67611661J. Havel2.1011811113LApr 27 · 11:30J. Havel2.101410115112L. Krejcik1.671212811133WApr 27 · 10:30K. Darin1.5761191152J. Havel2.25119118113WApr 27 · 09:00J. Havel1.8581111113J. Steffan1.85118981LApr 27 · 07:00J. Steffan1.91411411113J. Havel1.8011611792WApr 27 · 06:30J. Havel1.5711415123V. Havlicek2.2581113101WApr 24 · 13:30J. Havel1.6061111113V. Havlicek2.20117861WApr 24 · 12:00L. Malek1.7349100J. Havel2.001111123WApr 24 · 11:00V. Havlicek2.10511261J. Havel1.6711911113
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