TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11803492
Played Apr 27Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411116411117119
Jiri Havel
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Jiri Havel below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9
85 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 13–6 Jiri Havel Jiri Havel has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Havel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.91 / Havel 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Havel)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11803492
The market does not separate these two
1.91 against 1.80 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Steffan1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Havel1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan7wins
AwayHavel3wins
Steffan leads 7–3.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan6Havel4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Steffan4Havel6n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S3Steffan4Havel6n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S4Steffan8Havel2n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S5Steffan3Havel1n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanHavelS − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.242.7+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1174 vs 393 / 73046.5%53.8%546 / 1174 vs 393 / 730Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavelSteffan 1.91/Havel 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—J. Steffan—2J. Havel—3
W—J. Steffan—2J. Havel—3
L—J. Steffan—3J. Havel—2
W—J. Steffan—3J. Havel—1
W—J. Steffan—3J. Havel—1
W—J. Steffan—1J. Havel—3
L—J. Steffan—1J. Havel—3
W—J. Steffan—1J. Havel—3
L—J. Steffan—1J. Havel—3
W—J. Steffan—2J. Havel—3
J. Steffan10
LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113
J. Havel10
LApr 27 · 13:28L. Krejcik1.40121159113J. Havel2.75109111162WApr 27 · 12:30T. Kolenic1.67611661J. Havel2.1011811113LApr 27 · 11:30J. Havel2.101410115112L. Krejcik1.671212811133WApr 27 · 10:30K. Darin1.5761191152J. Havel2.25119118113WApr 27 · 09:00J. Havel1.8581111113J. Steffan1.85118981LApr 27 · 08:00K. Darin1.611112113J. Havel2.2041040WApr 27 · 06:30J. Havel1.5711415123V. Havlicek2.2581113101WApr 24 · 13:30J. Havel1.6061111113V. Havlicek2.20117861WApr 24 · 12:00L. Malek1.7349100J. Havel2.001111123WApr 24 · 11:00V. Havlicek2.10511261J. Havel1.6711911113
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