TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Akito Itagaki vs Raegan Albuquerque 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 20Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412511611811––
Raegan Albuquerque
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAkito Itagaki above · Raegan Albuquerque below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11
78 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Albuquerque)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Albuquerque form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 2.63 / Albuquerque 1.44
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Albuquerque)-7.5pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11770536
Itagaki2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Albuquerque1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiAlbuquerqueBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 142 vs 5 / 1141.6%45.5%59 / 142 vs 5 / 11Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.629.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlbuquerqueItagaki 2.63/Albuquerque 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Albuquerque · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Albuquerque won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
R. Albuquerque10
LApr 28 · 10:00F. Bluhm1.281111113R. Albuquerque3.506380WApr 28 · 09:45R. Albuquerque1.131111113L. Kraus4.656840WApr 28 · 08:45R. Albuquerque1.141111113L. Kraus5.006840WApr 27 · 17:00J. Lama4.3381140R. Albuquerque1.201113113LApr 27 · 15:30R. Albuquerque3.004121181F. Bluhm1.3611149113WApr 27 · 13:00R. Albuquerque—91111163E. Huzsvar—1189141WApr 27 · 11:30L. Kraus5.501631331R. Albuquerque1.13181111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Stefanidis—121186113R. Albuquerque—109111192WApr 27 · 07:30E. Valenet3.501081281R. Albuquerque1.28121110113LApr 21 · 11:00P. David2.50111115113R. Albuquerque1.501311391
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