Kacper Petas vs Jiri Vrablik · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts Oct 13, 06:30Scheduled

Kacper Petas

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

2 – 2

All 4 meetings · 50.0%

Last 4 · 2–2

Jiri Vrablik

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Kacper Petas arrives on a run of 3 straight wins.

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Price verdict

Caution

Jiri Vrablik at 1.727

The favourite carries a measured weakness the price does not charge for.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPetas 2.00 / Vrablik 1.727

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomePetas2wins

AwayVrablik2wins

2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Petas2Vrablik2n = 4split evenly

S2Petas0Vrablik4n = 4Vrablik took 4 of 4

S3Petas3Vrablik1n = 4Petas took 3 of 4

S4Petas3Vrablik1n = 4Petas took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home125%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricPetasVrablikP − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match46.842.2+4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPetasVrablikBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1266 vs 25 / 6053%41.7%671 / 1266 vs 25 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.7per match

TT Elite Series · #13285160

Petas2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 11)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog44% won 111 of 254

Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 129

Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 66

Vrablik1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 83 days ago (Jul 22) · back after a break

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Kacper Petas vs Jiri Vrablik · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Kacper Petas vs Jiri Vrablik · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary