Miroslav Svedik vs Jaroslav Novotny 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Miroslav Svedik

Home

1.60

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119119118––––

Jaroslav Novotny

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched: 57.9% is still 57.9%

Graded at full time

Miroslav Svedik to win

57.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Jaroslav Novotny below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 59 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Miroslav Svedik at 57.9%

59 points played in total.

H2H Miroslav Svedik 1–0 Jaroslav Novotny Jaroslav Novotny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 1–0Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Svedik

Svedik 1.60/Novotny 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.9%

Svedik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Svedik won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:29

57.9%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60

short by 4.6pp

62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.60 (58%)

Svedik

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-0 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Svedik 1394 vs Novotny 1402

Novotny

Wrong

both rated, 8 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Svedik 80% vs Novotny 40%

Svedik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Svedik 50% vs Novotny 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Svedik +3 · Novotny +1

Svedik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Svedik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Svedik: form 80%, the price implies 63%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvedik 1.60 / Novotny 2.20

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Svedik)-4.6pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Svedik beat Novotny 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeSvedik1wins

AwayNovotny0wins

1 of 1 to a deciderSvedik leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home1

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricSvedikNovotnyS − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.048.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvedikNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 139 vs 76 / 15337.4%49.7%52 / 139 vs 76 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.638.6per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13284793

Svedik1.60

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 16 of 27

Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12

Novotny2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog23% won 3 of 13

Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9

Miroslav Svedik vs Jaroslav Novotny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Miroslav Svedik vs Jaroslav Novotny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.