TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Miroslav Svedik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 14
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171171412––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Miroslav Svedik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 62 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Adam Svoboda at 62.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 1–2 Miroslav Svedik Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:5862.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1527 vs Svedik 1368
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 100% vs Svedik 20%
Svoboda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 100% vs Svedik 20%
Svoboda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +14 · Svedik +1
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Svoboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.50 / Svedik 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Svoboda)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243633
Svoboda1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 14
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 79 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Svedik2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 24 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog6% won 1 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwaySvedik2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSvedik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda1Svedik2n = 3Svedik took 2 of 3
S2Svoboda3Svedik0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
S3Svoboda0Svedik3n = 3Svedik took 3 of 3
S4Svoboda2Svedik1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvobodaSvedikSvoboda − SvedikBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.737.0+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaSvedikBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 385 vs 53 / 15153%35.1%204 / 385 vs 53 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.632.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.50/Svedik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 11 · 11:00A. Svoboda3711114113M. Svedik22241151
LAug 14 · 12:00A. Svoboda30711481M. Svedik4211911113
LJul 16 · 12:30A. Svoboda46711101172M. Svedik47119124113
A. Svoboda10
WOct 5 · 09:30A. Svoboda1.281111113L. Havel3.503550WOct 5 · 08:00T. Nohejl2.2051030A. Svoboda1.611112113WOct 5 · 07:00L. Havel2.507980A. Svoboda1.501111113WOct 5 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.4081111123V. Dolezal2.751184101WOct 4 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.531811123F. Briza2.38167100WOct 4 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.611210123113D. Horak2.201012101152WOct 4 · 11:30T. Kolenic1.67119881A. Svoboda2.1081111113WOct 4 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.61851111113F. Briza2.2011117572WOct 4 · 09:28A. Svoboda1.5011611113F. Briza2.50411631WOct 4 · 08:00D. Horak2.2012157762A. Svoboda1.6110131111113
M. Svedik10
WSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113LSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481
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