TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Nohejl vs Adam Svoboda 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012311––––
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 12
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:22 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Adam Svoboda @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 52 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Adam Svoboda at 55.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 1–1 Adam Svoboda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:2255.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 6.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1469 vs Svoboda 1507
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 40% vs Svoboda 100%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Svoboda 100%
Svoboda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -2 · Svoboda +12
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.20 / Svoboda 1.615
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Svoboda)-6.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243693
Nohejl2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Svoboda1.61
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 12
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 79 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNohejl1wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricNohejlSvobodaN − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.535.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 212 vs 202 / 38355.7%52.7%118 / 212 vs 202 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaNohejl 2.20/Svoboda 1.61
Hit
What we said
55.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Adam Svoboda @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 28 · 09:30T. Nohejl3711411113A. Svoboda34911861
LSep 28 · 07:30T. Nohejl2897120A. Svoboda361111143
T. Nohejl10
LOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362LOct 5 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.44117621L. Havel2.6391111113WSep 28 · 09:30A. Svoboda1.43911861T. Nohejl2.6011411113WSep 28 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.8011613123J. Moravek1.9181111101LSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120WSep 28 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.4411128113M. Stefek2.637101121WSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562WSep 25 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.201113143J. Pleskot4.33311120WSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123WSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.80129115113V. Dolezal1.91101161182
A. Svoboda10
WOct 5 · 07:00L. Havel2.507980A. Svoboda1.501111113WOct 5 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.4081111123V. Dolezal2.751184101WOct 4 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.531811123F. Briza2.38167100WOct 4 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.611210123113D. Horak2.201012101152WOct 4 · 11:30T. Kolenic1.67119881A. Svoboda2.1081111113WOct 4 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.61851111113F. Briza2.2011117572WOct 4 · 09:28A. Svoboda1.5011611113F. Briza2.50411631WOct 4 · 08:00D. Horak2.2012157762A. Svoboda1.6110131111113LSep 28 · 09:30A. Svoboda1.43911861T. Nohejl2.6011411113WSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120
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