Tomas Nohejl vs Jiri Moravek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 28Finished

Tomas Nohejl

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11861113111210––

Jiri Moravek

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:25 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%

Graded at full time

Tomas Nohejl to win

54.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Tomas Nohejl @ 1.80 · Won

How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Jiri Moravek below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Nohejl at 54.3%

82 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 07:25

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Nohejl

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nohejl 1479 vs Moravek 1428

Nohejl

Correct

both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nohejl 80% vs Moravek 60%

Nohejl

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nohejl 80% vs Moravek 50%

Nohejl

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Nohejl -1 · Moravek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNohejl 1.80 / Moravek 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Nohejl)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13209700

Nohejl1.80

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite66% won 39 of 59

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35

Moravek1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 15 of 39

Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNohejlMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 208 vs 88 / 17455.8%50.6%116 / 208 vs 88 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Nohejl

Nohejl 1.80/Moravek 1.91

Hit

What we said

54.3%

Nohejl · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Tomas Nohejl @ 1.80 · Won

What happened

3–1

Nohejl won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Nohejl10