TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Tomas Nohejl 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114811611––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Tomas Nohejl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 60.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 1–1 Tomas Nohejl Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Svoboda beat Nohejl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1454 vs Nohejl 1479
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 100% vs Nohejl 80%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Nohejl 80%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +5 · Nohejl +1
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.43 / Nohejl 2.60
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Svoboda)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13210051
Svoboda1.43
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Nohejl2.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 13 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwayNohejl1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSvobodaNohejlS − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.032.5+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 361 vs 118 / 21051.8%56.2%187 / 361 vs 118 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.43/Nohejl 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 28 · 09:30A. Svoboda34911861T. Nohejl3711411113
WSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda361111143T. Nohejl2897120
A. Svoboda10
WSep 28 · 08:30M. Stefek2.6311710101A. Svoboda1.4491112123WSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120WSep 28 · 06:28J. Moravek1.835460A. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 27 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.7361111113F. Briza2.00118771WSep 27 · 12:30A. Svoboda1.8015127113F. Briza1.9113101171LSep 27 · 11:00A. Svoboda1.619111191D. Horak2.2011813113LSep 27 · 10:00V. Kosar2.5011716123A. Svoboda1.5041114101WSep 27 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.57511811113D. Horak2.2511911662LSep 27 · 08:30F. Briza1.83811117113A. Svoboda1.8311481172LSep 27 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.8381111542M. Placek1.83118711113
T. Nohejl10
WSep 28 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.8011613123J. Moravek1.9181111101LSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120WSep 28 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.4411128113M. Stefek2.637101121WSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562WSep 25 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.201113143J. Pleskot4.33311120WSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123WSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.80129115113V. Dolezal1.91101161182WSep 24 · 09:30L. Sulava2.0012111151T. Nohejl1.7314136113LSep 24 · 08:00L. Sulava2.2051111113T. Nohejl1.61117571WSep 24 · 07:00J. Pleskot2.1012812862T. Nohejl1.6710111011113
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