TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs David Horak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119811116116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6
89 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 9–4 David Horak David Horak has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Svoboda beat Horak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.57 / Horak 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205599
Svoboda1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 65 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Horak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda7wins
AwayHorak3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda100%4 of 4
AwayHorak50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda4Horak6n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S2Svoboda6Horak4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S3Svoboda6Horak4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S4Svoboda6Horak2n = 8Svoboda took 6 of 8
S5Svoboda3Horak2n = 5Svoboda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaHorakS − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.5+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 352 vs 279 / 51751.4%54%181 / 352 vs 279 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.57/Horak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:30A. Svoboda4281112113D. Horak321141071
WSep 19 · 01:00A. Svoboda44111165113D. Horak3857111142
WSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda4111811113D. Horak31611681
WSep 18 · 16:00A. Svoboda521011119113D. Horak3812271162
WAug 15 · 19:30A. Svoboda3631111113D. Horak32116961
LAug 15 · 17:00A. Svoboda208570D. Horak331111113
WAug 15 · 14:30A. Svoboda501171011113D. Horak4281112742
LJul 17 · 22:30A. Svoboda3941181152D. Horak46117116113
LJul 11 · 00:00A. Svoboda4167111162D. Horak44111147113
WJun 20 · 02:30A. Svoboda331111113D. Horak198380
A. Svoboda10
LSep 27 · 08:30F. Briza1.83811117113A. Svoboda1.8311481172LSep 27 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.8381111542M. Placek1.83118711113WSep 27 · 06:30D. Horak2.101141071A. Svoboda1.6781112113LSep 25 · 13:00L. Malek1.671111113A. Svoboda2.109590LSep 25 · 12:30J. Steffan1.8011118133A. Svoboda1.916711111LSep 25 · 11:30A. Svoboda2.505116101K. Darin1.5011811123LSep 25 · 10:30L. Malek1.7311716113A. Svoboda2.004111451LSep 24 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.674590O. Kucirek2.101111113LSep 24 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.639940P. Picek1.441111113LSep 24 · 00:00J. Jnr1.3661111113A. Svoboda3.00114771
D. Horak10
LSep 27 · 08:00M. Placek1.44711116113D. Horak2.6311691172LSep 27 · 07:00F. Briza2.25981111113D. Horak1.5711118892LSep 27 · 06:30D. Horak2.101141071A. Svoboda1.6781112113WSep 25 · 17:30D. Horak1.611311113F. Briza2.2011980LSep 25 · 16:00D. Horak1.61971231O. Fejtek2.20111110113WSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2.2012870D. Horak1.611411113WSep 25 · 14:00D. Horak1.611114116113T. Kolenic2.2071671172LSep 20 · 09:30D. Horak1.6011511932F. Briza2.20411411113WSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110LSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992
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