TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Nohejl vs Ladislav Havel 1956 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711611211––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:51 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Nohejl to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Tomas Nohejl at 67.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 13–13 Ladislav Havel 1956 Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5167.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1482 vs Havel 1349
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Havel 60%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 80% vs Havel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +2 · Havel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.444 / Havel 2.625
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Nohejl)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242982
Nohejl1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 28) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 41 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 31 of 37
Havel2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl5wins
AwayHavel5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl80%4 of 5
AwayHavel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl5Havel5n = 10split evenly
S2Nohejl3Havel7n = 10Havel took 7 of 10
S3Nohejl2Havel8n = 10Havel took 8 of 10
S4Nohejl4Havel2n = 6Nohejl took 4 of 6
S5Nohejl3Havel0n = 3Nohejl took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlHavelN − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.336.9−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 211 vs 259 / 55055.9%47.1%118 / 211 vs 259 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.44/Havel 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Havel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:00T. Nohejl26117621L. Havel4291111113
WSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl55159911113L. Havel46131111562
WSep 25 · 07:30T. Nohejl48861111123L. Havel45111176102
WSep 24 · 06:30T. Nohejl5411101111113L. Havel4761213792
LSep 15 · 17:00T. Nohejl26511731L. Havel3911611113
LSep 15 · 14:00T. Nohejl217770L. Havel331111113
WJun 18 · 06:00T. Nohejl4211119113L. Havel31581171
WJun 16 · 14:00T. Nohejl331111113L. Havel204880
LJun 14 · 09:30T. Nohejl104420L. Havel331111113
LJun 14 · 06:00T. Nohejl186480L. Havel331111113
T. Nohejl10
WSep 28 · 09:30A. Svoboda1.43911861T. Nohejl2.6011411113WSep 28 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.8011613123J. Moravek1.9181111101LSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120WSep 28 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.4411128113M. Stefek2.637101121WSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562WSep 25 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.201113143J. Pleskot4.33311120WSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123WSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.80129115113V. Dolezal1.91101161182WSep 24 · 09:30L. Sulava2.0012111151T. Nohejl1.7314136113LSep 24 · 08:00L. Sulava2.2051111113T. Nohejl1.61117571
L. Havel10
WOct 4 · 12:58L. Havel1.441111113L. Havrda2.636350LOct 4 · 12:30L. Havel1.739970V. Hruska Sr2.001111113WOct 4 · 11:00L. Havel1.40611116133L. Havrda2.75118711112LOct 4 · 10:00M. Barta1.501113113L. Havel2.5081130WOct 3 · 17:30L. Havel1.80111011113J. Svec1.91612571WOct 3 · 16:30L. Havel1.671111113J. Svec2.109880WOct 3 · 15:00L. Havel1.73461111113V. Hruska Sr2.0011115992WOct 3 · 14:00M. Bohac2.38912121192L. Havel1.5311101013113LSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562LSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123
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