TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ladislav Havel 1956 vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeLadislav Havel 1956 to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Havel 1956 above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Ladislav Havel 1956 at 54.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Havel 1956 19–15 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1954.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Havel
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Havel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havel 1337 vs Hruska Sr 1310
Havel
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havel 80% vs Hruska Sr 40%
Havel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havel 70% vs Hruska Sr 50%
Havel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havel +1 · Hruska Sr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Havel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavel 1.727 / Hruska Sr 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Havel)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238582
Havel1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Hruska Sr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 81 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavel5wins
AwayHruska Sr5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavel50%3 of 6
AwayHruska Sr50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havel6Hruska Sr4n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S2Havel5Hruska Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Havel3Hruska Sr7n = 10Hruska Sr took 7 of 10
S4Havel2Hruska Sr5n = 7Hruska Sr took 5 of 7
S5Havel3Hruska Sr1n = 4Havel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavelHruska SrHavel − Hruska SrBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavelHruska SrBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 551 vs 474 / 100847.2%47%260 / 551 vs 474 / 1008Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HavelHavel 1.73/Hruska Sr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hruska Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 15:00L. Havel43461111113V. Hruska Sr4511115992
LJul 27 · 07:00L. Havel401191191V. Hruska Sr4491113113
WJun 25 · 08:59L. Havel4111117123V. Hruska Sr367811101
WJun 25 · 08:30L. Havel331111113V. Hruska Sr182970
LJun 18 · 07:00L. Havel2412570V. Hruska Sr361411113
WApr 24 · 12:58L. Havel51111198123V. Hruska Sr45851111102
WApr 24 · 12:30L. Havel47911115113V. Hruska Sr4511771192
LMar 26 · 09:58L. Havel47111196102V. Hruska Sr51981111123
LMar 26 · 09:00L. Havel381110891V. Hruska Sr3621211113
LFeb 25 · 14:04L. Havel2147100V. Hruska Sr341111123
L. Havel10
WOct 4 · 12:58L. Havel1.441111113L. Havrda2.636350WOct 4 · 11:00L. Havel1.40611116133L. Havrda2.75118711112LOct 4 · 10:00M. Barta1.501113113L. Havel2.5081130WOct 3 · 17:30L. Havel1.80111011113J. Svec1.91612571WOct 3 · 16:30L. Havel1.671111113J. Svec2.109880WOct 3 · 15:00L. Havel1.73461111113V. Hruska Sr2.0011115992WOct 3 · 14:00M. Bohac2.38912121192L. Havel1.5311101013113LSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562WSep 25 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.00991191L. Havel1.7311118113LSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123
V. Hruska Sr10
WOct 4 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr1.531121011193M. Barta2.38411125172WOct 4 · 10:30L. Havrda2.63811761V. Hruska Sr1.4411811113LOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LOct 3 · 20:30P. Berdych1.801111113V. Hruska Sr1.918650LOct 3 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr2.005790M. Syroha1.731111113WOct 3 · 18:30M. Novotny1.6791111382V. Hruska Sr2.10119811113WOct 3 · 17:00V. Hruska Sr1.8391111133M. Bohac1.831176111WOct 3 · 16:00M. Bohac2.2511060V. Hruska Sr1.571112113LOct 3 · 15:00L. Havel1.73461111113V. Hruska Sr2.0011115992LOct 3 · 14:30V. Hruska Sr1.53712111192J. Svec2.38111497113
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