TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Svedik vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611112112––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:27 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 61 set 4, 11-2 · our read held Miroslav Svedik at 57.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Svedik 1–0 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2757.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svedik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svedik 1365 vs Dolezal 1396
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svedik 20% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svedik 10% vs Dolezal 50%
Dolezal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svedik -2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Svedik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvedik 1.615 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svedik)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243990
Svedik1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 18 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Dolezal2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 30 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvedik1wins
AwayDolezal0wins
Svedik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvedikDolezalS − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.022.0+17.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvedikDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 135 vs 396 / 78936.3%50.2%49 / 135 vs 396 / 789Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSvedik 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svedik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 5 · 12:30M. Svedik3911611113V. Dolezal22711221
M. Svedik10
LOct 5 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.9531111113M. Svedik1.75119961LOct 5 · 11:00M. Svedik1.8311991162T. Nohejl1.83711117113LOct 5 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.501111143M. Svedik2.5077120WSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113LSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113
V. Dolezal10
LOct 5 · 13:00T. Nohejl2.00712711113V. Dolezal1.73111011892LOct 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.63491181A. Svoboda1.4411113113WOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl1.6711891182V. Dolezal2.10311118113WOct 5 · 08:58V. Dolezal1.91111011113T. Nohejl1.80312781LOct 5 · 08:30L. Havel1.6731111113V. Dolezal2.10119771WOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362LOct 5 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.4081111123V. Dolezal2.751184101WOct 4 · 02:58M. Smrcek1.367114111V. Dolezal3.0011011133WOct 4 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.441111113L. Sulava2.633760LOct 4 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.5759111192M. Stefek2.25111182113
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