TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Nohejl vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111210711118119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Nohejl above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9
97 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Nohejl 3–7 Vaclav Dolezal Tomas Nohejl has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 3h before this match
Dolezal beat Nohejl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.00 / Dolezal 1.727
Czech Liga Pro · #13248829
Nohejl2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Dolezal1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 140 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it84% 105 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayDolezal7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl50%2 of 4
AwayDolezal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Dolezal6n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl6Dolezal4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S3Nohejl6Dolezal4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S4Nohejl1Dolezal7n = 8Dolezal took 7 of 8
S5Nohejl2Dolezal4n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlDolezalN − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.743.3−4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 217 vs 396 / 78954.8%50.2%119 / 217 vs 396 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalNohejl 2.00/Dolezal 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl4711891182V. Dolezal44311118113
LOct 5 · 08:58T. Nohejl30312781V. Dolezal43111011113
LOct 5 · 07:30T. Nohejl3911613362V. Dolezal528111111113
WSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl48129115113V. Dolezal46101161182
WSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl47711117113V. Dolezal4311691162
LJun 30 · 08:00T. Nohejl3871112712V. Dolezal491161011113
WJun 25 · 10:30T. Nohejl341111123V. Dolezal2798100
LJun 25 · 09:29T. Nohejl30121170V. Dolezal381413113
LJun 25 · 06:30T. Nohejl50711146122V. Dolezal551171211143
LFeb 26 · 08:30T. Nohejl24011761V. Dolezal3611311113
T. Nohejl10
LOct 5 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.531211113T. Nohejl2.3810770WOct 5 · 11:00M. Svedik1.8311991162T. Nohejl1.83711117113LOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl1.6711891182V. Dolezal2.10311118113LOct 5 · 08:58V. Dolezal1.91111011113T. Nohejl1.80312781LOct 5 · 08:00T. Nohejl2.2051030A. Svoboda1.611112113LOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362LOct 5 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.44117621L. Havel2.6391111113WSep 28 · 09:30A. Svoboda1.43911861T. Nohejl2.6011411113WSep 28 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.8011613123J. Moravek1.9181111101LSep 28 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.911111143T. Nohejl1.8097120
V. Dolezal10
LOct 5 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111611113V. Dolezal2.20711221LOct 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.63491181A. Svoboda1.4411113113WOct 5 · 10:30T. Nohejl1.6711891182V. Dolezal2.10311118113WOct 5 · 08:58V. Dolezal1.91111011113T. Nohejl1.80312781LOct 5 · 08:30L. Havel1.6731111113V. Dolezal2.10119771WOct 5 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.008111111113T. Nohejl1.7311613362LOct 5 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.4081111123V. Dolezal2.751184101WOct 4 · 02:58M. Smrcek1.367114111V. Dolezal3.0011011133WOct 4 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.441111113L. Sulava2.633760LOct 4 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.5759111192M. Stefek2.25111182113
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