Radim Urbaniec vs Jan Mecl Jr 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Radim Urbaniec

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 6

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711119311711––

Jan Mecl Jr

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Jan Mecl Jr to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jan Mecl Jr below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 70 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 61.7%

70 points played in total.

H2H Radim Urbaniec 8–18 Jan Mecl Jr Radim Urbaniec has won 8 of their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mecl Jr

Urbaniec 2.20/Mecl Jr 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.7%

Mecl Jr · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Mecl Jr won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 14:50

61.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 0.2pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Mecl Jr

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

8-18 in 26

Mecl Jr

Correct

gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Urbaniec 1641 vs Mecl Jr 1817

Mecl Jr

Correct

both rated, 176 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Urbaniec 0% vs Mecl Jr 80%

Mecl Jr

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Urbaniec 20% vs Mecl Jr 80%

Mecl Jr

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Urbaniec -6 · Mecl Jr +2

Urbaniec

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Mecl Jr) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mecl Jr: form 80%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsUrbaniec 2.20 / Mecl Jr 1.615

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Mecl Jr)-0.2pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeUrbaniec2wins

AwayMecl Jr8wins

8 of 10 to a deciderMecl Jr leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeUrbaniec33.3%1 of 3

AwayMecl Jr85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Urbaniec3Mecl Jr7n = 10Mecl Jr took 7 of 10

S2Urbaniec4Mecl Jr6n = 10Mecl Jr took 6 of 10

S3Urbaniec4Mecl Jr6n = 10Mecl Jr took 6 of 10

S4Urbaniec9Mecl Jr1n = 10Urbaniec took 9 of 10

S5Urbaniec1Mecl Jr7n = 8Mecl Jr took 7 of 8

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away770%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricUrbaniecMecl JrU − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.446.8−4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricUrbaniecMecl JrBasisWin rate · lifetime693 / 1368 vs 375 / 72150.7%52%693 / 1368 vs 375 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280177

Urbaniec2.20

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog39% won 186 of 474

Down 0–1, comes back22% 59 of 270

Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 152

Mecl Jr1.61

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite60% won 129 of 216

Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72

Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121

Radim Urbaniec vs Jan Mecl Jr 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Radim Urbaniec vs Jan Mecl Jr 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.