TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Pusch vs Jan Mecl Jr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 54.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 1–0 Jan Mecl Jr Jan Mecl Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pusch beat Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1749 vs Jr 1755
Jr
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 40% vs Jr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch -1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 2.50 / Jr 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Jr)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13201185
Pusch2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 31 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back33% 12 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Jr1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it80% 91 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePusch1wins
AwayJr0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPusch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPuschJrP − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match52.050.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschJrBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 148 vs 374 / 72155.4%51.9%82 / 148 vs 374 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrPusch 2.50/Jr 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 15:00F. Pusch521161311113J. Jr5091115962
F. Pusch10
LSep 27 · 17:30R. Urbaniec2.021111113F. Pusch1.703560WSep 27 · 16:00A. Barton1.5741111842F. Pusch2.2511851193WSep 27 · 15:00J. Jr1.5791115962F. Pusch2.251161311113LSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 20 · 12:58F. Pusch2.0010670J. Kanera1.731211113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Kanera1.83111110113F. Pusch1.83651261LSep 20 · 11:30F. Pusch2.009111561M. Zahradka1.7311717113WSep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.6111550F. Pusch2.201311113LSep 19 · 17:30F. Pusch1.87811111242L. Prikasky1.831181310113WSep 19 · 16:30J. Kanera1.731271171F. Pusch2.0014117113
J. Jr10
WSep 27 · 17:00A. Barton1.851191216112J. Jr1.854111414133LSep 27 · 16:30J. Jr1.53141011792R. Urbaniec2.381212411113LSep 27 · 15:00J. Jr1.5791115962F. Pusch2.251161311113LSep 27 · 14:00A. Barton1.91111177113J. Jr1.8098111172WSep 26 · 21:30J. Jr1.5212511113R. Urbaniec2.351011891WSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100WSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:00J. Jr1.531114710113R. Urbaniec2.38712111212LSep 25 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.3511117113J. Jr1.52781181WSep 25 · 20:00J. Jr1.50811119123R. Urbaniec2.50118811102
Upcoming Matches
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J. Jr
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