TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Mecl Jr vs Radim Urbaniec 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111181189111210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 60.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 13–6 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-6 in 19
Jr
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1755 vs Urbaniec 1722
Jr
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Urbaniec 40%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Urbaniec 50%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Urbaniec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.50 / Urbaniec 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jr)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13189300
Jr1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 118 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it79% 87 of 110
Urbaniec2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 180 of 457
Down 0–1, comes back22% 56 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr7wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
8 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwayUrbaniec25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Urbaniec4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr8Urbaniec2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S3Jr5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr1Urbaniec8n = 9Urbaniec took 8 of 9
S5Jr6Urbaniec2n = 8Jr took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrUrbaniecJ − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.342.7+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 724 vs 661 / 129951.8%50.9%375 / 724 vs 661 / 1299Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.50/Urbaniec 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 20:00J. Jr51811119123R. Urbaniec48118811102
WAug 8 · 10:00J. Jr42111154113R. Urbaniec3836111172
WAug 6 · 11:30J. Jr46111167113R. Urbaniec4068111142
WJul 17 · 13:00J. Jr421113183R. Urbaniec30311160
WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jr48111187113R. Urbaniec4186111152
WJul 12 · 17:30J. Jr51991111113R. Urbaniec4211119292
LJul 12 · 15:30J. Jr4511129492R. Urbaniec474101111113
LJul 10 · 12:30J. Jr50101411782R. Urbaniec551212911113
LJul 7 · 10:00J. Jr321192101R. Urbaniec4391111123
WJun 19 · 12:59J. Jr46711116113R. Urbaniec4311571192
J. Jr10
WSep 25 · 19:30R. Rose1.911110981J. Jr1.8091211113LSep 25 · 18:00J. Jr2.10118891M. Klimenta1.6781111113LSep 20 · 17:00R. Rose2.001111113J. Jr1.736970LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 25 · 19:00M. Klimenta1.531541161R. Urbaniec2.3817117113WSep 25 · 18:30R. Urbaniec2.25791111113R. Rose1.5711117992LSep 25 · 02:58A. Barton1.441111113R. Urbaniec2.637860LSep 25 · 02:30A. Barton1.44613115153R. Urbaniec2.631111411132LSep 25 · 01:00O. Svacha2.001211113R. Urbaniec1.7310980LSep 24 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63581181J. Ruzicka1.4411117113WSep 24 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.6111119113M. Wagner2.20991131LSep 23 · 13:30R. Urbaniec2.379780J. Simecek1.461111113WSep 23 · 12:30O. Svacha2.1081120R. Urbaniec1.671113113WSep 23 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.731111113M. Wagner2.004370
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.