TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Svacha vs Radim Urbaniec 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113211––––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 56 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 57.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 31–38 Radim Urbaniec Ondrej Svacha has won 31 of their 69 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-38 in 69
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 7 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1704 vs Urbaniec 1738
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Urbaniec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 50% vs Urbaniec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Urbaniec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 2.10 / Urbaniec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177650
Svacha2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 81 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Urbaniec1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 192 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it91% 94 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 132 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha1wins
AwayUrbaniec9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvachan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrbaniec87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S2Svacha5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Svacha6Urbaniec4n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S4Svacha0Urbaniec8n = 8Urbaniec took 8 of 8
S5Svacha1Urbaniec4n = 5Urbaniec took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaUrbaniecS − UBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.744.0−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 786 vs 657 / 128950.6%51%398 / 786 vs 657 / 1289Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecSvacha 2.10/Urbaniec 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 02:58O. Svacha56112112662R. Urbaniec6413191011113
LSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha331111651R. Urbaniec4013511113
LSep 19 · 21:29O. Svacha1810620R. Urbaniec341211113
LSep 19 · 20:00O. Svacha4011911632R. Urbaniec45711511113
LSep 19 · 01:00O. Svacha46101111682R. Urbaniec49129611113
LSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha31951161R. Urbaniec3911116113
LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha33116971R. Urbaniec3961111113
WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha559111110143R. Urbaniec49117712122
LSep 10 · 16:30O. Svacha45101111672R. Urbaniec48127711113
LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha208750R. Urbaniec331111113
O. Svacha10
WSep 23 · 13:00M. Wagner2.1012691192O. Svacha1.671011115113LSep 23 · 11:00O. Svacha1.611112771J. Simecek2.20131011113WSep 23 · 10:00M. Wagner1.911111851O. Svacha1.8051311113LSep 22 · 02:58R. Urbaniec1.6113191011113O. Svacha2.20112112662WSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 23 · 13:30R. Urbaniec2.379780J. Simecek1.461111113WSep 23 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.731111113M. Wagner2.004370LSep 23 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67911811113R. Urbaniec2.1011211742LSep 23 · 09:30J. Simecek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.507750WSep 23 · 08:00R. Urbaniec1.801171113113M. Wagner1.9151161552LSep 23 · 07:30J. Simecek1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108740WSep 23 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.751291114113A. Barton1.40141191282WSep 22 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.10812119113O. Cmerda1.65111091162WSep 22 · 02:58R. Urbaniec1.6113191011113O. Svacha2.20112112662WSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.