TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Mark Robin Wagner vs Ondrej Svacha 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210611911115911
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 56.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 3–3 Ondrej Svacha Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1611 vs Svacha 1692
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 20% vs Svacha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 10% vs Svacha 40%
Svacha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +1 · Svacha -3
Svacha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 2.10 / Svacha 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svacha)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183601
Wagner2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Svacha1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 96 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwaySvacha3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvacha50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner2Svacha4n = 6Svacha took 4 of 6
S2Wagner2Svacha4n = 6Svacha took 4 of 6
S3Wagner3Svacha3n = 6split evenly
S4Wagner3Svacha2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricWagnerSvachaW − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match38.239.0−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 189 vs 398 / 78752.4%50.6%99 / 189 vs 398 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaWagner 2.10/Svacha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 23 · 10:00M. Wagner351111851O. Svacha4051311113
LSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner2969140O. Svacha381111163
WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner4181111113O. Svacha31116861
LSep 12 · 08:30M. Wagner391181191O. Svacha3813113113
WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner45711511113O. Svacha4811811992
WAug 30 · 12:00M. Wagner4011512123O. Svacha3981110101
M. Wagner10
WSep 23 · 12:00M. Wagner2.38111110123J. Simecek1.535412101LSep 23 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.731111113M. Wagner2.004370LSep 23 · 10:00M. Wagner1.911111851O. Svacha1.8051311113LSep 23 · 08:58A. Barton1.3351111113M. Wagner3.25118721LSep 23 · 08:00R. Urbaniec1.801171113113M. Wagner1.9151161552LSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton1.401111123M. Wagner2.7575100LSep 23 · 06:30M. Wagner2.10651171J. Simecek1.6711117113LSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143LSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101
O. Svacha10
LSep 23 · 12:30O. Svacha2.1081120R. Urbaniec1.671113113LSep 23 · 11:00O. Svacha1.611112771J. Simecek2.20131011113WSep 23 · 10:00M. Wagner1.911111851O. Svacha1.8051311113LSep 22 · 02:58R. Urbaniec1.6113191011113O. Svacha2.20112112662WSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141
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