TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Svacha vs Jan Simecek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131210711711––
Jan Simecek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 82 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 63.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 5–3 Jan Simecek Jan Simecek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Svacha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1715 vs Simecek 1758
Simecek
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Simecek 100%
Simecek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Simecek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +1 · Simecek +5
Simecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.61 / Simecek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svacha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177502
Svacha1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 96 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Simecek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSvacha5wins
AwaySimecek3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSvacha leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha100%5 of 5
AwaySimecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha5Simecek3n = 8Svacha took 5 of 8
S2Svacha4Simecek4n = 8split evenly
S3Svacha6Simecek2n = 8Svacha took 6 of 8
S4Svacha1Simecek4n = 5Simecek took 4 of 5
S5Svacha2Simecek1n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSvachaSimecekSvacha − SimecekBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.436.0+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 785 vs 113 / 22650.7%50%398 / 785 vs 113 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.61/Simecek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 28 · 24:30O. Svacha47137115113J. Simecek47111151192
WJun 14 · 03:30O. Svacha351311113J. Simecek2011630
WJun 13 · 22:00O. Svacha3811114123J. Simecek389811101
WJun 11 · 15:00O. Svacha46116115133J. Simecek45411811112
LMay 5 · 20:58O. Svacha44101211652J. Simecek501210611113
LMay 5 · 19:30O. Svacha30861151J. Simecek3711114113
WApr 6 · 21:30O. Svacha331111113J. Simecek183780
LApr 6 · 19:30O. Svacha188640J. Simecek331111113
O. Svacha10
WSep 23 · 10:00M. Wagner1.911111851O. Svacha1.8051311113LSep 22 · 02:58R. Urbaniec1.6113191011113O. Svacha2.20112112662WSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141WSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131
J. Simecek10
LSep 23 · 12:00M. Wagner2.38111110123J. Simecek1.535412101WSep 23 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67911811113R. Urbaniec2.1011211742WSep 23 · 09:30J. Simecek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.507750WSep 23 · 08:30A. Barton1.73511481J. Simecek2.0011711113WSep 23 · 07:30J. Simecek1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108740WSep 23 · 06:30M. Wagner2.10651171J. Simecek1.6711117113LSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113LSep 18 · 01:00J. Simecek2.637119101O. Kolisnyk1.4411911123LSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100
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