Radim Urbaniec vs Mark Robin Wagner · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Starts Oct 13, 14:00Scheduled

Radim Urbaniec

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 5

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Head to head

6 – 3

All 9 meetings · 66.7%

Last 9 · 6–3Same side

Mark Robin Wagner

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

6–4Last 10Won last 4

Compare players

Price verdict

Value · Medium

Mark Robin Wagner at 2.10

The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsUrbaniec 1.666 / Wagner 2.10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeUrbaniec6wins

AwayWagner3wins

2 of 9 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeUrbaniec85.7%6 of 7

AwayWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Urbaniec7Wagner2n = 9Urbaniec took 7 of 9

S2Urbaniec5Wagner4n = 9Urbaniec took 5 of 9

S3Urbaniec5Wagner4n = 9Urbaniec took 5 of 9

S4Urbaniec1Wagner4n = 5Wagner took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home333%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away222%

0–3Straight, away111%

These 9 meetings

MetricUrbaniecWagnerU − WBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match36.733.2+3.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricUrbaniecWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime693 / 1367 vs 122 / 22450.7%54.5%693 / 1367 vs 122 / 224Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13284988

Urbaniec1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 11)

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite63% won 173 of 275

Up 2–0, closes it90% 88 of 98

Up 1–0, closes it78% 123 of 158

Wagner2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 08)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog47% won 39 of 83

Down 0–1, comes back31% 12 of 39

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22

Radim Urbaniec vs Mark Robin Wagner · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Radim Urbaniec vs Mark Robin Wagner · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary