TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Wagner vs Radim Urbaniec 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-0
Point 39 set 3, 3-0
39 points drawn · the score is 15 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Richard Wagner 3–4 Radim Urbaniec Richard Wagner has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Urbaniec beat Wagner 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.80 / Urbaniec 1.909
Czech Liga Pro · #13270340
Wagner1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 85 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 63 of 78
Urbaniec1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 189 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back23% 60 of 266
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwayUrbaniec4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner50%3 of 6
AwayUrbaniecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner6Urbaniec1n = 7Wagner took 6 of 7
S2Wagner2Urbaniec5n = 7Urbaniec took 5 of 7
S3Wagner3Urbaniec4n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S4Wagner3Urbaniec2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricWagnerUrbaniecW − UBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match36.433.7+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 254 vs 691 / 135855.1%50.9%140 / 254 vs 691 / 1358Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.80/Urbaniec 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 9 · 16:30R. Wagner48118111172R. Urbaniec41211134113
WOct 9 · 12:00R. Wagner4415711113R. Urbaniec331311631
WSep 17 · 10:00R. Wagner4111811113R. Urbaniec25311741
LAug 12 · 11:30R. Wagner198740R. Urbaniec331111113
LAug 10 · 20:58R. Wagner46111168102R. Urbaniec45651111123
LAug 10 · 19:30R. Wagner23111741R. Urbaniec3851111113
WAug 8 · 18:30R. Wagner341111123R. Urbaniec2174100
R. Wagner10
LOct 9 · 16:30R. Wagner2.10118111172R. Urbaniec1.67211134113WOct 9 · 15:00R. Wagner2.38115511113J. Ruzicka1.5391111862LOct 9 · 14:00J. Mecl Jr1.67143611113R. Wagner2.10121111982LOct 9 · 13:30O. Svacha1.851111113R. Wagner1.858370WOct 9 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.831311631R. Wagner1.8315711113LOct 9 · 11:00O. Svacha2.201211113R. Wagner1.6110530WOct 9 · 10:30R. Wagner2.1071111113J. Ruzicka1.67119791LOct 6 · 21:28R. Wagner1.61771291J. Tazler2.20111110113WOct 6 · 20:30T. Zahradnik2.005660R. Wagner1.731111113WOct 6 · 19:30R. Wagner1.731111113O. Cmerda2.007350
R. Urbaniec10
WOct 9 · 16:30R. Wagner2.10118111172R. Urbaniec1.67211134113LOct 9 · 15:30R. Urbaniec2.2051161162J. Mecl Jr1.61117117113LOct 9 · 14:30J. Ruzicka1.441111113R. Urbaniec2.637950LOct 9 · 13:00J. Ruzicka1.431411133113R. Urbaniec2.60124151192LOct 9 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.831311631R. Wagner1.8315711113LOct 9 · 11:30J. Ruzicka1.441111113R. Urbaniec2.639460WOct 9 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57951111113O. Svacha2.2511115962WOct 8 · 17:05V. Nohejl3.106570R. Urbaniec1.301111113LOct 8 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6395121382A. Barton1.4411111011113LOct 8 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.91132641V. Nohejl1.80111111113
Upcoming Matches
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Oct 10 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.63A. Barton1.44—Oct 10 · 07:00R. Urbaniec1.57F. Pusch2.25—Oct 10 · 08:30R. Urbaniec1.44J. Louda2.63—Oct 10 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.61O. Svacha2.20—Oct 10 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.10R. Wagner1.67—Oct 11 · 01:00R. Urbaniec2.20M. Klimenta1.61—Oct 11 · 02:30R. Urbaniec3.00J. Simecek1.36—
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