TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Mecl Jr vs Ondrej Svacha 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118113511811911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 7–3 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:56What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Jr
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1768 vs Svacha 1684
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Svacha 0%
Jr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Svacha 40%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Svacha -5
Svacha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.44 / Svacha 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Jr)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201273
Jr1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it80% 91 of 114
Svacha2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 80 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr7wins
AwaySvacha3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%6 of 6
AwaySvacha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Svacha4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr8Svacha2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S3Jr4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S4Jr6Svacha3n = 9Jr took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSvachaJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.239.3+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 722 vs 399 / 79451.9%50.3%375 / 722 vs 399 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.44/Svacha 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr351211123O. Svacha28108100
WJun 30 · 16:30J. Jr53119119133O. Svacha43211811112
WJun 25 · 19:00J. Jr4591311123O. Svacha3811116101
LJun 21 · 09:00J. Jr42101131172O. Svacha45124117113
WJun 21 · 08:00J. Jr4111125133O. Svacha4081011111
LSep 16 · 21:00J. Jr3810111071O. Svacha4312812113
LSep 16 · 19:30J. Jr388116131O. Svacha4411711153
WJul 30 · 16:00J. Jr4111118113O. Svacha33771181
WMay 30 · 15:00J. Jr48121411113O. Svacha401016771
WMay 17 · 18:00J. Jr4113114133O. Svacha3911611111
J. Jr10
WSep 27 · 18:00F. Pusch2.509650J. Jr1.501111113WSep 27 · 17:00A. Barton1.851191216112J. Jr1.854111414133LSep 27 · 16:30J. Jr1.53141011792R. Urbaniec2.381212411113LSep 27 · 15:00J. Jr1.5791115962F. Pusch2.251161311113LSep 27 · 14:00A. Barton1.91111177113J. Jr1.8098111172WSep 26 · 21:30J. Jr1.5212511113R. Urbaniec2.351011891WSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100WSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:00J. Jr1.531114710113R. Urbaniec2.38712111212LSep 25 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.3511117113J. Jr1.52781181
O. Svacha10
LSep 27 · 18:30O. Svacha2.20511971R. Urbaniec1.6111511113LSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek1.911111143O. Svacha1.8089120LSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100LSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152LSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 25 · 03:30O. Svacha1.851112811113J. Ruzicka1.8581411882WSep 25 · 02:00O. Svacha1.671111113M. Wagner2.101570WSep 25 · 01:00O. Svacha2.001211113R. Urbaniec1.7310980LSep 25 · 00:00A. Barton1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010870WSep 24 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.839850O. Svacha1.831111113
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