TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Svacha vs Tomas Franek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14126111187111012
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Tomas Franek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 102 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 13–11 Tomas Franek Tomas Franek has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Franek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Svacha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1742 vs Franek 1667
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 80% vs Franek 60%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Franek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +3 · Franek +1
Svacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.83 / Franek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svacha)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13193734
Svacha1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Franek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha4wins
AwayFranek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFranek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha66.7%2 of 3
AwayFranek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Franek7n = 10Franek took 7 of 10
S2Svacha4Franek6n = 10Franek took 6 of 10
S3Svacha5Franek5n = 10split evenly
S4Svacha4Franek4n = 8split evenly
S5Svacha2Franek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaFranekS − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.9−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaFranekBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 789 vs 89 / 17850.6%50%399 / 789 vs 89 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.83/Franek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 00:00O. Svacha4012116113T. Franek331051171
LJul 2 · 01:00O. Svacha29311871T. Franek3811511113
LJun 23 · 22:00O. Svacha377111181T. Franek4311138113
LJun 10 · 00:30O. Svacha4111411872T. Franek43311711113
WJun 3 · 02:00O. Svacha51812911113T. Franek45111011672
WMay 25 · 00:30O. Svacha44111111113T. Franek38913881
LMay 20 · 22:30O. Svacha3538111122T. Franek49111188113
WApr 29 · 01:30O. Svacha49911117113T. Franek3811661142
LApr 9 · 02:58O. Svacha2381050T. Franek341112113
LApr 9 · 02:30O. Svacha2651470T. Franek381116113
O. Svacha10
LSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100LSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152WSep 25 · 03:30O. Svacha1.851112811113J. Ruzicka1.8581411882WSep 25 · 02:00O. Svacha1.671111113M. Wagner2.101570WSep 25 · 01:00O. Svacha2.001211113R. Urbaniec1.7310980LSep 25 · 00:00A. Barton1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010870WSep 24 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.839850O. Svacha1.831111113WSep 23 · 13:00M. Wagner2.1012691192O. Svacha1.671011115113LSep 23 · 12:30O. Svacha2.1081120R. Urbaniec1.671113113LSep 23 · 11:00O. Svacha1.611112771J. Simecek2.20131011113
T. Franek10
LSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek1.839119101R. Wagner1.8311911123LSep 24 · 01:30J. Tazler1.83781111113T. Franek1.8311117992WSep 24 · 00:00T. Franek2.001211711113S. Kasnik1.7314511442WSep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.252820T. Franek1.571111113WSep 18 · 03:28M. Klement1.8061030T. Franek1.911112113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030WSep 18 · 00:30T. Franek2.1091111113V. Vejvoda1.67119951WSep 17 · 23:00T. Franek1.50118144113M. Regner2.50611121162
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