TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Franek vs Richard Wagner 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Franek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111199111012––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Franek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 0–1 Richard Wagner Tomas Franek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:20What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Franek 1659 vs Wagner 1670
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 60% vs Wagner 40%
Franek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 60% vs Wagner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek -1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Franek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 1.83 / Wagner 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Franek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178895
Franek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Wagner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFranek0wins
AwayWagner1wins
Wagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFranekWagnerF − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.043.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 177 vs 117 / 22049.7%53.2%88 / 177 vs 117 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekFranek 1.83/Wagner 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek399119101R. Wagner4311911123
T. Franek10
WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 01:30J. Tazler1.83781111113T. Franek1.8311117992WSep 24 · 24:00T. Franek2.001211711113S. Kasnik1.7314511442WSep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.252820T. Franek1.571111113WSep 18 · 03:28M. Klement1.8061030T. Franek1.911112113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030WSep 18 · 24:30T. Franek2.1091111113V. Vejvoda1.67119951WSep 17 · 23:00T. Franek1.50118144113M. Regner2.50611121162WSep 17 · 22:00M. Skakal1.806111141T. Franek1.9111137113LSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113
R. Wagner10
WSep 24 · 03:30J. Tazler1.601371091R. Wagner2.20111112113WSep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.2511175962R. Wagner1.576151111113LSep 23 · 23:30R. Wagner1.807880J. Tazler1.911111113WSep 23 · 22:00R. Wagner2.1011118113M. Sychra1.67761191LSep 22 · 13:00M. Regner1.801112113R. Wagner1.8581070LSep 22 · 12:30R. Wagner2.2011711792V. Kolar1.61811611113LSep 22 · 11:00R. Wagner1.578470J. Zuzanek2.251111113LSep 22 · 10:00M. Regner2.501111113R. Wagner1.508690WSep 22 · 09:30J. Louda2.0071111692R. Wagner1.73112911113WSep 22 · 08:00J. Zuzanek2.00712861R. Wagner1.73111011113
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