TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Franek vs Ondrej Svacha 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191412––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 65 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 12–13 Ondrej Svacha Tomas Franek has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Franek beat Svacha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franek 1659 vs Svacha 1716
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 40% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 50% vs Svacha 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek -2 · Svacha -3
Svacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 1.91 / Svacha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svacha)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13203322
Franek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Svacha1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 96 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it78% 75 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFranek6wins
AwaySvacha4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFranek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFranek66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvacha50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franek6Svacha4n = 10Franek took 6 of 10
S2Franek6Svacha4n = 10Franek took 6 of 10
S3Franek4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S4Franek5Svacha4n = 9Franek took 5 of 9
S5Franek3Svacha2n = 5Franek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFranekSvachaF − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.7+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 181 vs 399 / 79249.7%50.4%90 / 181 vs 399 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaFranek 1.91/Svacha 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 18:30T. Franek541211811123O. Svacha48146117102
LAug 14 · 00:00T. Franek331051171O. Svacha4012116113
WJul 2 · 01:00T. Franek3811511113O. Svacha29311871
WJun 23 · 22:00T. Franek4311138113O. Svacha377111181
WJun 10 · 00:30T. Franek43311711113O. Svacha4111411872
LJun 3 · 02:00T. Franek45111011672O. Svacha51812911113
LMay 25 · 00:30T. Franek38913881O. Svacha44111111113
WMay 20 · 22:30T. Franek49111188113O. Svacha3538111122
LApr 29 · 01:30T. Franek3811661142O. Svacha49911117113
WApr 9 · 02:58T. Franek341112113O. Svacha2381050
T. Franek10
LSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121LSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek1.839119101R. Wagner1.8311911123LSep 24 · 01:30J. Tazler1.83781111113T. Franek1.8311117992WSep 24 · 00:00T. Franek2.001211711113S. Kasnik1.7314511442WSep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.252820T. Franek1.571111113WSep 18 · 03:28M. Klement1.8061030T. Franek1.911112113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030
O. Svacha10
LSep 26 · 20:00J. Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100LSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152LSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 25 · 03:30O. Svacha1.851112811113J. Ruzicka1.8581411882WSep 25 · 02:00O. Svacha1.671111113M. Wagner2.101570WSep 25 · 01:00O. Svacha2.001211113R. Urbaniec1.7310980LSep 25 · 00:00A. Barton1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010870WSep 24 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.839850O. Svacha1.831111113WSep 23 · 13:00M. Wagner2.1012691192O. Svacha1.671011115113LSep 23 · 12:30O. Svacha2.1081120R. Urbaniec1.671113113
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