TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Sveshnykov vs Yurii Urezchenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 15:00Scheduled
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
2 – 6
All 8 meetings · 25.0%
Last 8 · 2–6Same side
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 7 of 10
2 of 10 playedGroup 16 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman SveshnykovThis match | 1–0 | 3–1 | 3 |
| 2 | Yurii UrezchenkoThis match | 1–0 | 3–1 | 3 |
| 3 | Viacheslav Yarovyi | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4 |
| 4 | Anton Danylov | 0–1 | 1–3 | 3 |
| 5 | Oleksandr Badanin | 0–1 | 1–3 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.363 / Urezchenko 3.00
Setka Cup · #13276757
Sveshnykov1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 42 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Urezchenko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 40 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSveshnykov2wins
AwayUrezchenko6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov50%2 of 4
AwayUrezchenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov4Urezchenko4n = 8split evenly
S2Sveshnykov1Urezchenko7n = 8Urezchenko took 7 of 8
S3Sveshnykov4Urezchenko4n = 8split evenly
S4Sveshnykov3Urezchenko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSveshnykovUrezchenkoS − UBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.940.1−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 306 vs 202 / 45042.8%44.9%131 / 306 vs 202 / 450Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4716911113Y. Urezchenko401411781
WAug 9 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov4111118113Y. Urezchenko33871171
LMar 29 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2714580Y. Urezchenko381611113
LMar 10 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov4211811662Y. Urezchenko51911911113
LMar 3 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov37891191Y. Urezchenko4011117113
LFeb 25 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov29115671Y. Urezchenko3851111113
LDec 17 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov2889110Y. Urezchenko351111133
LDec 10 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov3664111142Y. Urezchenko46111176113
R. Sveshnykov10
LOct 11 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov1.2590A. Danylov3.75111WOct 11 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.36111113143O. Badanin3.007915121LOct 4 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.3396100V. Yarovyi3.251111123LOct 4 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov1.3311911992O. Badanin3.25911711113WOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov1.361111109113V. Khyzhnyak3.0056121122LOct 4 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov1.1391151872S. Zherykhin5.501141116113WOct 3 · 17:11V. Saakian2.25891181R. Sveshnykov1.5711116113LOct 3 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.2511911113R. Sveshnykov1.57311791LOct 3 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2.2512116141V. Saakian1.5714311163WOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113
Y. Urezchenko10
WOct 11 · 12:30A. Danylov3.50611581Y. Urezchenko1.2811611103WOct 7 · 10:13Y. Urezchenko2.5014711113V. Matviichuk1.501211791LOct 7 · 09:00V. Kurliuk1.1012911113Y. Urezchenko6.501011891WOct 7 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57179121052Y. Urezchenko2.2515111012113WOct 7 · 06:00V. Matviichuk1.401111261Y. Urezchenko2.7513511113LOct 7 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113Y. Urezchenko2.205590LOct 2 · 10:29Y. Urezchenko3.00137611102V. Saakian1.361111119123LOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391WOct 2 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.75891191Y. Urezchenko1.4011119113WOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163
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