TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Sveshnykov vs Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151161012911112
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:52 and never touched: 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 88 set 5, 11-2 · our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 70.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 3–5 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Roman Sveshnykov has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5270.4%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 3.0pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1333 vs Khyzhnyak 1167
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Khyzhnyak 100%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 70% vs Khyzhnyak 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -1 · Khyzhnyak +5
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.363 / Khyzhnyak 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Sveshnykov)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240160
Sveshnykov1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite79% won 44 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Khyzhnyak3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSveshnykov3wins
AwayKhyzhnyak5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov50%2 of 4
AwayKhyzhnyak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov4Khyzhnyak4n = 8split evenly
S2Sveshnykov3Khyzhnyak5n = 8Khyzhnyak took 5 of 8
S3Sveshnykov3Khyzhnyak5n = 8Khyzhnyak took 5 of 8
S4Sveshnykov2Khyzhnyak3n = 5Khyzhnyak took 3 of 5
S5Sveshnykov2Khyzhnyak1n = 3Sveshnykov took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSveshnykovKhyzhnyakS − KBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.738.7+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 303 vs 66 / 18242.9%36.3%130 / 303 vs 66 / 182Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.36/Khyzhnyak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov521111109113V. Khyzhnyak3656121122
WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov341111123V. Khyzhnyak2248100
WApr 13 · 08:00R. Sveshnykov45511711113V. Khyzhnyak4311611872
LJan 28 · 11:01R. Sveshnykov3971011111V. Khyzhnyak4411128133
LJan 28 · 06:30R. Sveshnykov30116671V. Khyzhnyak4181111113
LJan 22 · 10:00R. Sveshnykov2811890V. Khyzhnyak351311113
LJan 16 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov50116911132V. Khyzhnyak50411119153
R. Sveshnykov10
LOct 4 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov1.1391151872S. Zherykhin5.501141116113WOct 3 · 17:11V. Saakian2.25891181R. Sveshnykov1.5711116113LOct 3 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.2511911113R. Sveshnykov1.57311791LOct 3 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2.2512116141V. Saakian1.5714311163WOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113WOct 3 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281111113A. Danylov3.509450WOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113WOct 2 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov1.5711119113S. Honcharenko2.25761161WOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113WOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462
V. Khyzhnyak10
WOct 4 · 05:30O. Badanin1.5011781192V. Khyzhnyak2.50911114113WOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113WOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.0011211282V. Khyzhnyak1.73711811113WOct 1 · 07:00V. Matviichuk1.53651151V. Khyzhnyak2.3811116113LOct 1 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.20111110113V. Khyzhnyak4.33851261WSep 28 · 10:33V. Khyzhnyak4.70115116133S. Honcharenko1.15811511112LSep 28 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507490WSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750WSep 28 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak5.0011912113A. Lysyi1.149111091
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