TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Urezchenko vs Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117211118211811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:55 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Khyzhnyak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 82 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Volodymyr Khyzhnyak at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 12–18 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Yurii Urezchenko has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5554.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khyzhnyak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Khyzhnyak
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1124 vs Khyzhnyak 1128
Khyzhnyak
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 60% vs Khyzhnyak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 50% vs Khyzhnyak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +1 · Khyzhnyak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Khyzhnyak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 2.00 / Khyzhnyak 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khyzhnyak)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224088
Urezchenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 35 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Khyzhnyak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 14 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko3wins
AwayKhyzhnyak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko50%2 of 4
AwayKhyzhnyak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Urezchenko2Khyzhnyak8n = 10Khyzhnyak took 8 of 10
S3Urezchenko4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S4Urezchenko2Khyzhnyak4n = 6Khyzhnyak took 4 of 6
S5Urezchenko2Khyzhnyak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoKhyzhnyakU − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.839.5−6.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 449 vs 63 / 17843.9%35.4%197 / 449 vs 63 / 178Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.534.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhyzhnyakUrezchenko 2.00/Khyzhnyak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khyzhnyak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko3411211282V. Khyzhnyak48711811113
LSep 10 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko4711881192V. Khyzhnyak48711118113
WSep 7 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko43611114113V. Khyzhnyak4511591192
WAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko50111188123V. Khyzhnyak44481111102
LJul 21 · 10:43Y. Urezchenko187380V. Khyzhnyak331111113
LJul 21 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko24721231V. Khyzhnyak43111110113
LJun 9 · 10:09Y. Urezchenko228950V. Khyzhnyak331111113
LJun 9 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2481060V. Khyzhnyak341112113
LMay 25 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko2461080V. Khyzhnyak341112113
WMay 22 · 09:59Y. Urezchenko4211911113V. Khyzhnyak33911581
Y. Urezchenko10
WOct 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko2.001111113S. Honcharenko1.735670LOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113WSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112WSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113WSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192WSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WOct 1 · 07:00V. Matviichuk1.53651151V. Khyzhnyak2.3811116113LOct 1 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.20111110113V. Khyzhnyak4.33851261WSep 28 · 10:33V. Khyzhnyak4.70115116133S. Honcharenko1.15811511112LSep 28 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507490WSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750WSep 28 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak5.0011912113A. Lysyi1.149111091WSep 28 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak2.7581112113V. Matviichuk1.401161051LSep 25 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.6371171272V. Matviichuk1.441191110113LSep 25 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.1411114123V. Khyzhnyak5.009611101WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192
Upcoming Matches
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