TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Stanislav Zherykhin vs Roman Sveshnykov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412911411911––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched: 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 85.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 0–4 Roman Sveshnykov Stanislav Zherykhin has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2985.8%Our read88.9%to break even at 1.125
short by 3.1pp88.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.125 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Sveshnykov
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1063 vs Sveshnykov 1356
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 293 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 40% vs Sveshnykov 100%
Sveshnykov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 40% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -2 · Sveshnykov +5
Sveshnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 5.50 / Sveshnykov 1.125
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Sveshnykov)-3.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229049
Zherykhin5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 27
Sveshnykov1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite78% won 38 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZherykhin0wins
AwaySveshnykov4wins
Sveshnykov leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySveshnykov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin1Sveshnykov3n = 4Sveshnykov took 3 of 4
S2Zherykhin0Sveshnykov4n = 4Sveshnykov took 4 of 4
S3Zherykhin0Sveshnykov4n = 4Sveshnykov took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricZherykhinSveshnykovZ − SBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match27.835.0−7.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 94 vs 125 / 29535.1%42.4%33 / 94 vs 125 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovZherykhin 5.50/Sveshnykov 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 13 · 16:30S. Zherykhin38119991R. Sveshnykov3631111113
LJun 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2779110R. Sveshnykov351111133
LMay 31 · 15:00S. Zherykhin195770R. Sveshnykov331111113
LApr 11 · 09:30S. Zherykhin27116100R. Sveshnykov361311123
S. Zherykhin10
LOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113LOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin1.53861171A. Danylov2.3811118113LOct 2 · 13:00S. Zherykhin4.5077100S. Honcharenko1.171111123WSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113LSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113WSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102LSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113
R. Sveshnykov10
WOct 2 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov1.5711119113S. Honcharenko2.25761161WOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113WOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462WSep 27 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.258911111R. Sveshnykov1.5711118133WSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471LSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113WSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172WSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281LSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091
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