TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Sveshnykov vs Oleksandr Levytskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111311511811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 4–11 Oleksandr Levytskyi Roman Sveshnykov has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Levytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Levytskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1313 vs Levytskyi 1217
Sveshnykov
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 80% vs Levytskyi 60%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 80% vs Levytskyi 60%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +2 · Levytskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.83 / Levytskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13202752
Sveshnykov1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Levytskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSveshnykov3wins
AwayLevytskyi7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevytskyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov60%3 of 5
AwayLevytskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov5Levytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sveshnykov5Levytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sveshnykov4Levytskyi6n = 10Levytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Sveshnykov1Levytskyi4n = 5Levytskyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSveshnykovLevytskyiS − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.7−3.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 289 vs 131 / 29841.5%44%120 / 289 vs 131 / 298Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.83/Levytskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 24 · 17:38R. Sveshnykov50111113692O. Levytskyi541381111113
WSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3711114113O. Levytskyi31841181
WSep 3 · 17:33R. Sveshnykov341112113O. Levytskyi2691070
LSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2448120O. Levytskyi361111143
LAug 2 · 05:59R. Sveshnykov371261091O. Levytskyi44101112113
LJun 6 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov377121081O. Levytskyi44111012113
LMay 24 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov27461161O. Levytskyi4211119113
WApr 25 · 05:30R. Sveshnykov331111113O. Levytskyi204790
LApr 18 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov228680O. Levytskyi331111113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471WSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172WSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281LSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091WSep 24 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.30119911113A. Danylov3.4051111772WSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181WSep 24 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.2011141111113V. Hyriavyi4.3351613942WSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103LSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102WSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.251111113V. Hyriavyi3.757380WSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113LSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181LSep 24 · 12:30A. Danylov1.83711911113O. Levytskyi1.8311511842WSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741WSep 13 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak4.33851181O. Levytskyi1.2011119113
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